Fred Kucharski

Permanent Scientific Staff
Senior Research Scientist/Head of the External Activities Unit
Fred Kucharski
Earth System Physics
+39 040 2240 4345
kucharsk@ictp.it
+39 040 2240 4345
kucharsk@ictp.it
SISSA-256
http://users.ictp.it/~kucharsk/
0000-0002-8710-8051

Fred Kucharski

He received his PhD in Frankfurt/Main in Germany in 1997. The topic of his PhD was the development of a local atmospheric available potential energy concept, derived from the Exergy framework. After Research fellow periods at the GKSS in Germany, University of Reading and the Metoffice, UK, he joined the ICTP in 2001, where his main research areas are climate variability and its predictability. Special research topics include atmospheric and oceanic teleconnections, particularly El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Atlantic Nino teleconnections with monsoons and extratropical regions at all time scales; the separation of forced and internal climate variability; Sahel and Arabian Peninsula rainfall variability and its relation to sea surface temperatures; and decadal modes of variability and air-sea interactions. 

He is also editor-in-chief of the Nature Partner Journal npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, and faculty member of the Earth Science, Fluid-Dynamics, and Mathematics. Interactions and Methods (ESFM) Phd programme between University of Trieste, OGS and ICTP. He has co-organized more than 30 Scientific Activities at ICTP and elsewhere.

Since 2017 he is also head of the External Activities Unit at ICTP.


Publications

Journal article
2026
Impact of wind forcing on the equatorial Pacific interannual variability in Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP) simulations
Climate Dynamics (2026)
Arthur Prigent | Riccardo Farneti | Fred Kucharski | Antonietta Capotondi | Joke F. Lübbecke
Journal article
2025
Drying Tropical America Under Global Warming: Mechanism and Emergent Constraint
Geophysical Research Letters (2025)
Chao He | Xiaolong Chen | Tianjun Zhou | Fred Kucharski | Fengfei Song
Journal article
2025
Response of Early Winter Precipitation and Storm Activity in the North Atlantic–European–Mediterranean Region to Indian Ocean SST Variability
Geophysical Research Letters (2025)
M. Reale | A. Raganato | F. D'Andrea | M. Adnan Abid | A. Hochman | N. R. Chowdhury | S. Salon | F. Kucharski
Journal article
2025
The Tropical Basin Interaction Model Intercomparison Project (TBIMIP)
Geoscientific Model Development (2025)
Richter, I. | Chang, P. | Chiu, P.-G. | Danabasoglu, G. | Doi, T. | Dommenget, D. | Gastineau, G. | Gillett, Z.E. | Hu, A. | Kataoka, T. | Keenlyside, N.S. | Kucharski, F. | Okumura, Y.M. | Park, W. | Stuecker, M.F. ...
Journal article
2025
Tele-connected rainfall extremes over West and East Asia in April 2024 tied to Indian Ocean heating
Climate Dynamics (2025)
He, C. | Kucharski, F.
Journal article
2025
ENSO teleconnections and predictability of the boreal summer temperature over the Arabian Peninsula in C3S and Saudi-KAU seasonal forecast systems
Atmospheric Research (2025)
Almazroui, M. | Khalid, M.S. | Abid, M.A. | Rashid, I.U. | Kamil, S. | Siddiqui, H. | Islam, M.N. | Ismail, M. | Ehsan, M.A. | O'Brien, E. | Asiri, M. | Ahmed, R. | Saeed, S. | Samman, A.E. | Kucharski, F. | Arif, O.H. | Arishi, A.A.
Journal article
2024
The Interdecadal Changes of the Relationship Between May‐June and July‐August NWPSH and Their Physical Mechanisms
Geophysical Research Letters (2024)
Shuai Li | Fred Kucharski | Jie Yang | ZhiQiang Gong | Yuxuan Zhao | Guolin Feng
Journal article
2024
Amazon drought amplifies SST warming in the North Tropical Atlantic
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Lou, W. | Sun, C. | Kucharski, F. | Li, J. | Liu, Y.
Journal article
2024
Predictability of the early summer surface air temperature over Western South Asia
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Rashid, I.U. | Abid, M.A. | Osman, M. | Kucharski, F. | Ashfaq, M. | Weisheimer, A. | Almazroui, M. | Torres-Alavez, J.A. | Afzaal, M.
Journal article
2024
Winter precipitation predictability in Central Southwest Asia and its representation in seasonal forecast systems
NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2024)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2024
Seasonal variability and predictability of monsoon precipitation in Southern Africa
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2024)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2024
Multi-decadal pacemaker simulations with an intermediate-complexity climate model
WEATHER AND CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2024)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2024
SPEEDY-NEMO: performance and applications of a fully-coupled intermediate-complexity climate model
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2024)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2023
Decadal oscillation provides skillful multiyear predictions of Antarctic sea ice
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2023)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2023
Author Correction: The influence of natural variability on extreme monsoons in Pakistan (npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, (2023), 6, 1, (148), 10.1038/s41612-023-00462-8)
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2023)
Ashfaq, M. | Johnson, N. | Kucharski, F. | Diffenbaugh, N.S. | Abid, M.A. | Horan, M.F. | Singh, D. | Mahajan, S. | Ghosh, S. | Ganguly, A.R. | Evans, K.J. | Islam, S.
Journal article
2023
Mechanisms of tropical Pacific decadal variability
NATURE REVIEWS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT (2023)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2023
The influence of natural variability on extreme monsoons in Pakistan
NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2023)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2023
Moisture sources for precipitation variability over the Arabian Peninsula
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2023)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2023
Pan-Atlantic decadal climate oscillation linked to ocean circulation
COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT (2023)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2023
Predictability of Indian Ocean precipitation and its North Atlantic teleconnections during early winter
NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2023)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2023
Impacts of mid-latitude circulation on winter temperature variability in the Arabian Peninsula: the explicit role of NAO
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2023)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2022
Early summer surface air temperature variability over Pakistan and the role of El Nino-Southern Oscillation teleconnections
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2022)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2022
Weakened impact of the Atlantic Niño on the future equatorial Atlantic and Guinea Coast rainfall
Earth System Dynamics (2022)
Koffi Worou | Hugues Goosse | Thierry Fichefet | Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2022
Cross-hemispheric SST propagation enhances the predictability of tropical western Pacific climate
NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2022)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2022
Dominant controls of cold-season precipitation variability over the high mountains of Asia
NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2022)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2022
Early summer surface air temperature variability over Pakistan and the role of El Niño–Southern Oscillation teleconnections
International Journal of Climatology (2022)
Rashid, I.U. | Abid, M.A. | Almazroui, M. | Kucharski, F. | Hanif, M. | Ali, S. | Ismail, M.
Journal article
2022
The Internal and ENSO-Forced Modes of the Indian Ocean Sea Surface Temperature
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2022)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2022
On the weakening association between South Asian Monsoon and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2022)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2021
The importance of inter-basin atmospheric teleconnection in the SST footprint of Atlantic multidecadal oscillation over western Pacific
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2021)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2021
The importance of inter‐basin atmospheric teleconnection in the SST footprint of Atlantic multidecadal oscillation over western Pacific
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Sun, C. | Liu, Y. | Xue, J. | Kucharski, F. | Li, J. | Li, X.

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Full UNITS Climate Dynamics lecture course

http://clima-dods.ictp.it/Users/kucharsk/units_physics_master_climate_m…

Presentation Seoul, CLIVAR TBI meeting, 22.06.2024

http://clima-dods.ictp.it/Users/kucharsk/aogs_kucharski_2024_short.pptx

http://clima-dods.ictp.it/Users/kucharsk/aogs_kucharski_2024_short.pdf

http://clima-dods.ictp.it/Users/kucharsk/tbi_seoul_kucharski_2024_short…

http://clima-dods.ictp.it/Users/kucharsk/…

Presentation at University of Bologna, 28.11.2023

http://clima-dods.ictp.it/Users/kucharsk/bologna_kucharski_2023.pptx

http://clima-dods.ictp.it/Users/kucharsk/bologna_kucharski_2023.pdf

Presentation at University of Bergen 30.08.2023

http://users.ictp.it/~kucharsk/bergen_kucharski_2023.pdf

student EOF fortran programme

http://users.ictp.it/~kucharsk/student_prog.tar

Presentation 09.03.2023 at Universidad Complutense de Madrid

http://users.ictp.it/~kucharsk/madrid_kucharski_2023.pptx

http://users.ictp.it/~kucharsk/madrid_kucharski_2023.pdf

Full Atmospheric Dynamics lecture

http://users.ictp.it/~kucharsk/ictp_atmospheric_dynamics.pdf