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Scientists in ICTP's Earth System Physics section publish their research in some of the world's most prestigious journals; for the latest publications, see below.

Journal article

2026

TurboMeter: an attribution framework for aviation turbulence events in a changing climate

Weather and Climate Dynamics (2026)

Tommaso Alberti | Davide Faranda | Mohamed Foudad | Erika Coppola | Lia Rapella | Rachel Burbidge | Miguel A. C. Teixeira | Paul D. Williams

Journal article

2026

Navigating global health futures under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

The Lancet Planetary Health (2026)

Carole Green | Marina Andrijevic | Jeremy J Hess | Shonali Pachauri | Sam Sellers | Bas van Ruijven | Kristie L Ebi | Fatimah Ahamad | Christofer Åström | Kristin Aunan | Peng Bi | Robbert Biesbroek | Josephine Borghi ...

Journal article

2026

Chlorophyll a concentration effects on equatorial Atlantic Ocean mean-state and interannual variability

Ocean Science (2026)

Arthur Prigent | Riccardo Farneti | Manfredi Manizza | Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue

Journal article

2026

A Long-Term Shift in Flow Regimes over the Antarctic Peninsula

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2026)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2026

Equatorward shift of marine heatwaves centroids in the Atlantic Ocean

NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2026)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2026

Tropical-Extratropical Teleconnection of the Winter Atlantic Nino in a Climate Model

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2026)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2026

Aedes albopictus and Dengue Transmission Risk in France Over the 21st Century

Global Change Biology (2026)

Andrea Radici | Pachka Hammami | Florence Fournet | Didier Fontenille | Cyril Caminade

Journal article

2026

Climate mitigation and adaptation strategies tailored for different types of European cities: a typology and associated systematic review

Environmental Research Letters (2026)

Mira Kopp | Simon Montfort | Géraldine Pflieger | Natascha Wagner | Olexiy Kyrychenko | Rita Nogherotto | Alona Zharova | Alexander Baklanov | Sorin Cheval | Abhishek Nair | Giulia Ulpiani | Tilda Aue | Felix Creutzig

Journal article

2026

Roles of central and eastern Atlantic Niño in the interannual variability of Indian summer monsoon

SCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES (2026)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2026

Assessment of Convection-Permitting Simulations in Representing the Urban-Rural Contrasts over Selected Cities in South America

Earth Systems and Environment (2026)

Silvina A. Solman | Yaiza Quintana | Josipa Milovac | Javier Diez-Sierra | Jesus Fernández | Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha | Erika Coppola | Josefina Blázquez | Francesca Raffaelle | Sin Chan Chou | Daniela Carneiro Rodrigues ...

Journal article

2026

两类大西洋尼诺对印度夏季风年际变率的影响

SCIENTIA SINICA Terrae (2026)

娅琪靳 | 磊张 | Fred KUCHARSKI

Journal article

2026

Modelling the risk posed by Aedes mosquitoes in Europe: Identifying research needs from public health stakeholders and field entomologists

Acta Tropica (2026)

Federico Romiti | Sarah Droghei | Dominic Brass | Cyril Caminade | Giovanni Marini | Bethan Purse | Kamil Erguler | Alessandro Albieri | Paola Angelini | Margo Blaha | Olivier Briet | Mattia Calzolari | Marco Carrieri ...

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All publications

Journal article

2017

Influence of tropical South Atlantic sea-surface temperatures on the Indian summer monsoon in CMIP5 models

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2017)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2017

Impact of Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation on Indian summer monsoon rainfall: an assessment from CMIP5 climate models

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2017)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2017

Western tropical Pacific multidecadal variability forced by the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2017)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2017

The transient atmospheric response to a reduction of sea‐ice cover in the Barents and Kara Seas

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (2017)

P. Ruggieri | F. Kucharski | R. Buizza | M. H. P. Ambaum

Journal article

2017

Multidecadal Changes in the Relationship of Storm Frequency over Euro-Mediterranean Region and ENSO During Boreal Winter

EARTH SYSTEMS AND ENVIRONMENT (2017)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2017

Climate Change Contribution to the Emergence or Re-Emergence of Parasitic Diseases

Infectious Diseases: Research and Treatment (2017)

Erica E Short | Cyril Caminade | Bolaji N Thomas

Journal article

2017

Fasciola and fasciolosis in ruminants in Europe: Identifying research needs

Transboundary and Emerging Diseases (2017)

N. J. Beesley | C. Caminade | J. Charlier | R. J. Flynn | J. E. Hodgkinson | A. Martinez-Moreno | M. Martinez-Valladares | J. Perez | L. Rinaldi | D. J. L. Williams

Journal article

2017

Global risk model for vector-borne transmission of Zika virus reveals the role of El Niño 2015.

Caminade C | Turner J | Metelmann S | Hesson JC | Blagrove MS | Solomon T | Morse AP | Baylis M

Journal article

2017

Comparison of Malaria Simulations Driven by Meteorological Observations and Reanalysis Products in Senegal

International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (2017)

Ibrahima Diouf | Belen Rodriguez-Fonseca | Abdoulaye Deme | Cyril Caminade | Andrew Morse | Moustapha Cisse | Ibrahima Sy | Ibrahima Dia | Volker Ermert | Jacques-André Ndione | Amadou Gaye

Journal article

2017

The role of climate change in a developing threat: The case of bluetonque in Europe

OIE Revue Scientifique et Technique (2017)

Baylis, M. | Caminade, C. | Turner, J. | Jones, A.E.

Journal article

2017

Dengue burden in India: recent trends and importance of climatic parameters

Emerging Microbes & Infections (2017)

Srinivasa Rao Mutheneni | Andrew P Morse | Cyril Caminade | Suryanaryana Murty Upadhyayula

Journal article

2017

Co-occurrence of viruses and mosquitoes at the vectors’ optimal climate range: An underestimated risk to temperate regions?

PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases (2017)

Marcus S. C. Blagrove | Cyril Caminade | Elisabeth Waldmann | Elizabeth R. Sutton | Maya Wardeh | Matthew Baylis | Christopher M. Barker

Journal article

2017

Non-hydrostatic effects on mountain wave breaking in directional shear flows

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (2017)

Guarino, M.-V. | Teixeira, M.A.C.

Journal article

2017

Reply to Gautret et al.

Caminade C | McIntyre KM | Jones AE

Journal article

2017

Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering

Earth's Future (2017)

Irvine, P.J. | Kravitz, B. | Lawrence, M.G. | Gerten, D. | Caminade, C. | Gosling, S.N. | Hendy, E.J. | Kassie, B.T. | Kissling, W.D. | Muri, H. | Oschlies, A. | Smith, S.J.

Journal article

2017

Description and evaluation of the Earth System Regional Climate Model (Reg CM-ES)

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2017)

Sitz, L.E. | Di Sante, F. | Farneti, R. | Fuentes-Franco, R. | Coppola, E. | Mariotti, L. | Reale, M. | Sannino, G. | Barreiro, M. | Nogherotto, R. | Giuliani, G. | Graffino, G. | Solidoro, C. | Cossarini, G. | Giorgi, F.

Journal article

2017

Analogous seasonal evolution of the South Atlantic SST dipole indices

Atmospheric Science Letters (2017)

Hyacinth C. Nnamchi | Fred Kucharski | Noel S. Keenlyside | Riccardo Farneti

Journal article

2017

Unexpected Covariant Behavior of the Aegean and Ionian Seas in the Period 1987-2008 by Means of a Nondimensional Sea Surface Height Index

Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans (2017)

M. Reale | S. Salon | A. Crise | R. Farneti | R. Mosetti | G. Sannino

Journal article

2017

Organization of tropical convection in low vertical wind shears: Role of updraft entrainment

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2017)

Adrian M. Tompkins | Addisu G. Semie

Journal article

2017

The climate-system historical forecast project: Providing open access to seasonal forecast ensembles from centers around the globe

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2017)

Tompkins, A.M. | De Záratate, M.I.O. | Saurral, R.I. | Vera, C. | Saulo, C. | Merryfield, W.J. | Sigmond, M. | Lee, W.-S. | Baehr, J. | Braun, A. | Butler, A. | Déqué, M. | Doblas-Reyes, F.J. | Gordon, M. | Scacaife, A.A. ...

Journal article

2017

Modelling interdecadal climate variability and the role of the ocean

Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Climate Change (2017)

Farneti, Riccardo

Journal article

2017

Modulation of air-sea fluxes by extratropical planetary waves and its impact during the recent surface warming slowdown

Geophysical Research Letters (2017)

Molteni, Franco | Farneti, Riccardo | Kucharski, Fred | Stockdale, Timothy N.

Journal article

2016

The Brazilian Global Atmospheric Model (BAM): Performance for tropical rainfall forecasting and sensitivity to convective scheme and horizontal resolution

Weather and Forecasting (2016)

Figueroa, S.N. | Bonatti, J.P. | Kubota, P.Y. | Grell, G.A. | Morrison, H. | Barros, S.R.M. | Fernandez, J.P.R. | Ramirez, E. | Siqueira, L. | Luzia, G. | Silva, J. | Silva, J.R. | Pendharkar, J. | Capistrano, V.B. | Alvim, D.S. ...

Journal article

2016

Med-CORDEX initiative for Mediterranean climate studies

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2016)

Ruti, P.M. | Somot, S. | Giorgi, F. | Dubois, C. | Flaounas, E. | Obermann, A. | Dell'Aquila, A. | Pisacane, G. | Harzallah, A. | Lombardi, E. | Ahrens, B. | Akhtar, N. | Alias, A. | Arsouze, T. | Aznar, R. | Bastin, S. ...

Journal article

2016

A multimodel intercomparison of resolution effects on precipitation: simulations and theory

Climate Dynamics (2016)

Rauscher, S.A. | O’Brien, T.A. | Piani, C. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F. | Collins, W.D. | Lawston, P.M.

Journal article

2016

Enhanced summer convective rainfall at Alpine high elevations in response to climate warming

Nature Geoscience (2016)

Giorgi, F. | Torma, C. | Coppola, E. | Ban, N. | Schär, C. | Somot, S.

Journal article

2016

West African monsoon decadal variability and surface-related forcings: second West African Monsoon Modeling and Evaluation Project Experiment (WAMME II)

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2016)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2016

An analysis of the impact of SST drift in the ECMWF system 3 on simulation of the Indian summer climatology

METEOROLOGY AND ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS (2016)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2016

Assessment of prediction and predictability of short rains over equatorial East Africa using a multi-model ensemble

THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY (2016)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2016

Interannual rainfall variability and ECMWF-Sys4-based predictability over the Arabian Peninsula winter monsoon region

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2016)

Fred Kucharski

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