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Scientists in ICTP's Earth System Physics section publish their research in some of the world's most prestigious journals; for the latest publications, see below.

Journal article

2026

TurboMeter: an attribution framework for aviation turbulence events in a changing climate

Weather and Climate Dynamics (2026)

Tommaso Alberti | Davide Faranda | Mohamed Foudad | Erika Coppola | Lia Rapella | Rachel Burbidge | Miguel A. C. Teixeira | Paul D. Williams

Journal article

2026

Navigating global health futures under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

The Lancet Planetary Health (2026)

Carole Green | Marina Andrijevic | Jeremy J Hess | Shonali Pachauri | Sam Sellers | Bas van Ruijven | Kristie L Ebi | Fatimah Ahamad | Christofer Åström | Kristin Aunan | Peng Bi | Robbert Biesbroek | Josephine Borghi ...

Journal article

2026

Chlorophyll a concentration effects on equatorial Atlantic Ocean mean-state and interannual variability

Ocean Science (2026)

Arthur Prigent | Riccardo Farneti | Manfredi Manizza | Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue

Journal article

2026

A Long-Term Shift in Flow Regimes over the Antarctic Peninsula

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2026)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2026

Equatorward shift of marine heatwaves centroids in the Atlantic Ocean

NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2026)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2026

Tropical-Extratropical Teleconnection of the Winter Atlantic Nino in a Climate Model

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2026)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2026

Aedes albopictus and Dengue Transmission Risk in France Over the 21st Century

Global Change Biology (2026)

Andrea Radici | Pachka Hammami | Florence Fournet | Didier Fontenille | Cyril Caminade

Journal article

2026

Climate mitigation and adaptation strategies tailored for different types of European cities: a typology and associated systematic review

Environmental Research Letters (2026)

Mira Kopp | Simon Montfort | Géraldine Pflieger | Natascha Wagner | Olexiy Kyrychenko | Rita Nogherotto | Alona Zharova | Alexander Baklanov | Sorin Cheval | Abhishek Nair | Giulia Ulpiani | Tilda Aue | Felix Creutzig

Journal article

2026

Roles of central and eastern Atlantic Niño in the interannual variability of Indian summer monsoon

SCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES (2026)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2026

Assessment of Convection-Permitting Simulations in Representing the Urban-Rural Contrasts over Selected Cities in South America

Earth Systems and Environment (2026)

Silvina A. Solman | Yaiza Quintana | Josipa Milovac | Javier Diez-Sierra | Jesus Fernández | Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha | Erika Coppola | Josefina Blázquez | Francesca Raffaelle | Sin Chan Chou | Daniela Carneiro Rodrigues ...

Journal article

2026

两类大西洋尼诺对印度夏季风年际变率的影响

SCIENTIA SINICA Terrae (2026)

娅琪靳 | 磊张 | Fred KUCHARSKI

Journal article

2026

Modelling the risk posed by Aedes mosquitoes in Europe: Identifying research needs from public health stakeholders and field entomologists

Acta Tropica (2026)

Federico Romiti | Sarah Droghei | Dominic Brass | Cyril Caminade | Giovanni Marini | Bethan Purse | Kamil Erguler | Alessandro Albieri | Paola Angelini | Margo Blaha | Olivier Briet | Mattia Calzolari | Marco Carrieri ...

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All publications

Journal article

2016

Statistically related coupled modes of South Asian summer monsoon interannual variability in the tropics

ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS (2016)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2016

The role of ENSO and PDO in variability of winter precipitation over North America from twenty first century CMIP5 projections

Climate Dynamics (2016)

Fuentes-Franco, R. | Giorgi, F. | Coppola, E. | Kucharski, F.

Journal article

2016

A model to assess the efficacy of vaccines for control of liver fluke infection

Sci. Rep. (2016)

Joanne Turner | Alison Howell | Cathy McCann | Cyril Caminade | Roger G. Bowers | Diana Williams | Matthew Baylis

Journal article

2016

Climate-driven changes to the spatio-temporal distribution of the parasitic nematode, Haemonchus contortus, in sheep in Europe

Glob Change Biol (2016)

Hannah Rose | Cyril Caminade | Muhammad Bashir Bolajoko | Paul Phelan | Jan van Dijk | Matthew Baylis | Diana Williams | Eric R. Morgan

Journal article

2016

Climate Change and Vector-borne Diseases: Where Are We Next Heading?

Journal of Infectious Diseases (2016)

Caminade, C. | McIntyre, M.K. | Jones, A.E.

Journal article

2016

Modeling of spatio-temporal variation in plague incidence in Madagascar from 1980 to 2007.

Giorgi E | Kreppel K | Diggle PJ | Caminade C | Ratsitorahina M | Rajerison M | Baylis M

Journal article

2016

Epidemiology: Malaria in a warmer West Africa

Nature Climate Change (2016)

Caminade, C. | Jones, A.E.

Journal article

2016

Emergence or improved detection of Japanese encephalitis virus in the Himalayan highlands?

Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg (2016)

Matthew Baylis | Christopher M. Barker | Cyril Caminade | Bhoj R. Joshi | Ganesh R. Pant | Ajit Rayamajhi | William K. Reisen | Daniel E. Impoinvil

Journal article

2016

A dynamic, climate-driven model of Rift Valley fever

Geospat Health (2016)

Joseph Leedale | Anne E. Jones | Cyril Caminade | Andrew P. Morse

Journal article

2016

Turbulence generation by mountain wave breaking in flows with directional wind shear

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (2016)

Guarino, M.-V. | Teixeira, M.A.C. | Ambaum, M.H.P.

Journal article

2016

Projecting malaria hazard from climate change in eastern Africa using large ensembles to estimate uncertainty

Geospat Health (2016)

Joseph Leedale | Adrian M. Tompkins | Cyril Caminade | Anne E. Jones | Grigory Nikulin | Andrew P. Morse

Journal article

2016

Assessment of malaria transmission changes in africa, due to the climate impact of land use change using coupled model intercomparison project phase 5 earth system models

Geospatial Health (2016)

Tompkins, A.M. | Caporaso, L.

Journal article

2016

Simulating the impact of flooding on wheat yield - Case study in East China

Agricultural and Forest Meteorology (2016)

Li, S. | Tompkins, A.M. | Lin, E. | Ju, H.

Journal article

2016

Health, environmental change and adaptive capacity; mapping, examining and anticipating future risks of water-related vector-borne diseases in Eastern Africa

Geospatial Health (2016)

Taylor, D. | Kienberger, S. | Malone, J.B. | Tompkins, A.M.

Journal article

2016

To what extent does climate explain variations in reported malaria cases in early 20th Century Uganda?

Geospatial Health (2016)

Tompkins, A.M. | Larsen, L. | McCreesh, N. | Taylor, D.

Journal article

2016

Migration statistics relevant for malaria transmission in Senegal derived from mobile phone data and used in an agent-based migration model

Geospatial Health (2016)

Tompkins, A.M. | McCreesh, N.

Journal article

2016

A breeding site model for regional, dynamical malaria simulations evaluated using in situ temporary ponds observations

Geospatial Health (2016)

Asare, E.O. | Tompkins, A.M. | Amekudzi, L.K. | Ermert, V.

Journal article

2016

Mosquito breeding site water temperature observations and simulations towards improved vector-borne disease models for Africa

Geospatial Health (2016)

Asare, E.O. | Tompkins, A.M. | Amekudzi, L.K. | Ermert, V. | Redl, R.

Journal article

2016

A regional model for malaria vector developmental habitats evaluated using explicit, pond-resolving surface hydrology simulations

PLoS ONE (2016)

Asare, E.O. | Tompkins, A.M. | Bomblies, A.

Journal article

2016

Numerical framework and performance of the new multiple-phase cloud microphysics scheme in RegCM4.5: precipitation, cloud microphysics, and cloud radiative effects

Geoscientific Model Development (2016)

Rita Nogherotto | Adrian Mark Tompkins | Graziano Giuliani | Erika Coppola | Filippo Giorgi

Journal article

2016

Assessing the effects of air temperature and rainfall on malaria incidence: an epidemiological study across Rwanda and Uganda

Geospatial health (2016)

Colón-González, F.J. | Tompkins, A.M. | Biondi, R. | Bizimana, J.P. | Namanya, D.B.

Journal article

2016

North Atlantic simulations in Coordinated Ocean-ice Reference Experiments phase II (CORE-II). Part II: Inter-annual to decadal variability

Ocean Modelling (2016)

Danabasoglu, Gokhan | Yeager, Steve G. | Kim, Who M. | Behrens, Erik | Bentsen, Mats | Bi, Daohua | Biastoch, Arne | Bleck, Rainer | Boening, Claus | Bozec, Alexandra | Canuto, Vittorio M. | Cassou, Christophe | Chassignet, Eric ...

Journal article

2016

North and equatorial Pacific Ocean circulation in the CORE-II hindcast simulations

Ocean Modelling (2016)

Tseng, Yu-heng | Lin, Hongyang | Chen, Han-ching | Thompson, Keith | Bentsen, Mats | Boening, Claus W. | Bozec, Alexandra | Cassou, Christophe | Chassignet, Eric | Chow, Chun Hoe | Danabasoglu, Gokhan | Danilov, Sergey ...

Journal article

2016

The Teleconnection of the Tropical Atlantic to Indo-Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures on Inter-Annual to Centennial Time Scales: A Review of Recent Findings

Atmosphere (2016)

Kucharski, Fred | Parvin, Afroja | Rodriguez-Fonseca, Belen | Farneti, Riccardo | Martin-Rey, Marta | Polo, Irene | Mohino, Elsa | Losada, Teresa | Mechoso, Carlos R.

Journal article

2016

A process study of the Adriatic-Ionian System baroclinic dynamics

Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans (2016)

Reale, M. | Crise, A. | Farneti, R. | Mosetti, R.

Journal article

2016

An Equatorial-Extratropical Dipole Structure of the Atlantic Nino

Journal of Climate (2016)

Nnamchi, Hyacinth C. | Li, Jianping | Kucharski, Fred | Kang, In-Sik | Keenlyside, Noel S. | Chang, Ping | Farneti, Riccardo

Journal article

2016

Atlantic forcing of Pacific decadal variability

Climate Dynamics (2016)

Kucharski, Fred | Ikram, Farah | Molteni, Franco | Farneti, Riccardo | Kang, In-Sik | No, Hyun-Ho | King, Martin P. | Giuliani, Graziano | Mogensen, Kristian

Journal article

2015

The large-scale climate in response to the retreat of the West Antarctic ice sheet (vol 28, pg 637, 2015)

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2015)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2015

A multi-disciplinary approach to evaluate pluvial floods risk under changing climate: The case study of the municipality of Venice (Italy)

Science of the Total Environment (2015)

Sperotto, A. | Torresan, S. | Gallina, V. | Coppola, E. | Critto, A. | Marcomini, A.

Journal article

2015

Added value of regional climate modeling over areas characterized by complex terrain-precipitation over the Alps

Journal of Geophysical Research (2015)

Torma, C. | Giorgi, F. | Coppola, E.

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