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Scientists in ICTP's Earth System Physics section publish their research in some of the world's most prestigious journals; for the latest publications, see below.

Journal article

2026

The interdecadal variations of cross-month correlation feature of the NWPSH

NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2026)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2026

Has the fire weather index emerged? Insights from global and regional climate models

Weather and Climate Extremes (2026)

Rita Nogherotto | Francesca Raffaele | Graziano Giuliani | Erika Coppola

Journal article

2026

Correction to: The attribution of human health outcomes to climate change: transdisciplinary practical guidance

Climatic Change (2026)

K. L. Ebi | A. Haines | R. F. S. Andrade | C. Åström | M. L. Barreto | A. Bonell | K. Bowen | N. Brink | C. Caminade | C. J. Carlson | R. Carter | P. Chua | G. Cissé | F. J. Colón-González | S. Dasgupta | L. A. Galvao ...

Journal article

2026

The Importance of Accounting for Stakeholder Values, Power Relationships and Language in Constructing Relevant and Trustworthy Climate Information

Earth's Future (2026)

Douglas Maraun | Dragana Bojovic | Wendy Parker | Theodore G. Shepherd | Stefan Sobolowski | Cyril Caminade | Alessandro Dosio | William J. Gutowski | Anna Sörensson | Leandro B. Diaz | Ibrahima Diouf | Francisco J. Doblas‐Reyes ...

Journal article

2026

High resolution physically based modelling reveals malaria incidence reduction by vector control measures

Scientific Reports (2026)

Mame Diarra Bousso Dieng | Stephan Munga | Adrian M. Tompkins | Miguel Garrido Zornoza | Cyril Caminade | Benjamin Fersch | Joël Arnault | Sammy Khagayi | Maximilian Schwarz | Simon Kariuki | Godfrey Bigogo | Harald Kunstmann

Journal article

2026

Impact of wind forcing on the equatorial Pacific interannual variability in Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP) simulations

Climate Dynamics (2026)

Arthur Prigent | Riccardo Farneti | Fred Kucharski | Antonietta Capotondi | Joke F. Lübbecke

Journal article

2025

A global CORDEX-based dataset delineating urban areas and their surroundings to assess climate change in megacities

Scientific Data (2025)

Javier Diez-Sierra | Yaiza Quintana | Gaby S. Langendijk | Josipa Milovac | Matthias Demuzere | Rita Nogherotto | Joni-Pekka Pietikäinen | Diana Rechid | Natalia Zazulie | Silvina A. Solman | Jesús Fernández

Journal article

2025

Drying Tropical America Under Global Warming: Mechanism and Emergent Constraint

Geophysical Research Letters (2025)

Chao He | Xiaolong Chen | Tianjun Zhou | Fred Kucharski | Fengfei Song

Journal article

2025

Interannual variability of net primary productivity in the northwest African coastal upwelling system and their relation to Dakar Niños

Scientific Reports (2025)

Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue | Arthur Prigent | Joke F. Lübbecke | Peter Brandt | Julien Jouanno

Journal article

2025

Potential for Machine Learning Emulators to Augment Regional Climate Simulations in Provision of Local Climate Change Information

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2025)

Elizabeth J. Kendon | Henry Addison | Antoine Doury | Samuel Somot | Peter A. G. Watson | Ben B. B. Booth | Erika Coppola | José Manuel Gutiérrez | James Murphy | Calum Scullion

Journal article

2025

Graph neural networks for hourly precipitation projections at the convection permitting scale with a novel hybrid imperfect framework

Environmental Data Science (2025)

Valentina Blasone | Erika Coppola | Guido Sanguinetti | Viplove Arora | Serafina Di Gioia | Luca Bortolussi

Journal article

2025

The 5th generation regional climate modeling system, RegCM5: the first convection-permitting European wide simulation and validation over the CORDEX-CORE domains

Climate Dynamics (2025)

Erika Coppola | Filippo Giorgi | Graziano Giuliani | Emanuela Pichelli | James M. Ciarlo | Francesca Raffaele | Rita Nogherotto | Michelle Simões Reboita | Chen Lu | Natalia Zazulie | Luiza Vargas-Heinz | Andressa Andrade Cardoso ...

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All publications

Journal article

2018

Mosquito-Borne Diseases: Advances in Modelling Climate-Change Impacts

Trends in Parasitology (2018)

Tjaden, N.B. | Caminade, C. | Beierkuhnlein, C. | Thomas, S.M.

Book chapter

2018

Predicting climate impacts on health at sub-seasonal to seasonal timescales

Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction: The Gap Between Weather and Climate Forecasting (2018)

Tompkins, A.M. | Lowe, R. | Nissan, H. | Martiny, N. | Roucou, P. | Thomson, M.C. | Nakazawa, T.

Journal article

2018

The Numerics of Physical Parametrization in the ECMWF Model

Frontiers in Earth Science (2018)

Beljaars, A. | Balsamo, G. | Bechtold, P. | Bozzo, A. | Forbes, R. | Hogan, R.J. | Köhler, M. | Morcrette, J.-J. | Tompkins, A.M. | Viterbo, P. | Wedi, N.

Journal article

2018

Uncertainty in malaria simulations in the highlands of Kenya: Relative contributions of model parameter setting, driving climate and initial condition errors

PLoS ONE (2018)

Tompkins, A.M. | Thomson, M.C.

Journal article

2017

The transient atmospheric response to a reduction of sea-ice cover in the Barents and Kara Seas

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2017)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2017

Sensitivity of AGCM‐simulated regional JJAS precipitation to different convective parameterization schemes

International Journal of Climatology (2017)

Muhammad Azhar Ehsan | Mansour Almazroui | Ahmed Yousef | O'Brien Enda | Michael K. Tippett | Fred Kucharski | Abdulrahman A. Alkhalaf

Journal article

2017

Influence of tropical South Atlantic sea‐surface temperatures on the Indian summer monsoon in CMIP5 models

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (2017)

Fred Kucharski | Manish K. Joshi

Journal article

2017

Sensitivity of tropical cyclones to resolution, convection scheme and ocean flux parameterization over Eastern Tropical Pacific and Tropical North Atlantic Oceans in the RegCM4 model

Climate Dynamics (2017)

Fuentes-Franco, R. | Giorgi, F. | Coppola, E. | Zimmermann, K.

Journal article

2017

Interannual Variability of the Indian Monsoon and Its Link to ENSO

Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Climate Science (2017)

Kucharski, Fred | Abid, M. Adnan

Journal article

2017

Modulation of air‐sea fluxes by extratropical planetary waves and its impact during the recent surface warming slowdown

Geophysical Research Letters (2017)

Franco Molteni | Riccardo Farneti | Fred Kucharski | Timothy N. Stockdale

Journal article

2017

Wintertime ENSO influence on late spring European climate: the stratospheric response and the role of North Atlantic SST

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2017)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2017

Oceanic response to changes in the WAIS and astronomical forcing during the MIS31 superinterglacial

Climate of the Past (2017)

Flavio Justino | Douglas Lindemann | Fred Kucharski | Aaron Wilson | David Bromwich | Frode Stordal

Journal article

2017

Saudi-KAU Coupled Global Climate Model: Description and Performance

EARTH SYSTEMS AND ENVIRONMENT (2017)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2017

Sensitivity of AGCM-simulated regional JJAS precipitation to different convective parameterization schemes

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2017)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2017

Skill and predictability in multimodel ensemble forecasts for Northern Hemisphere regions with dominant winter precipitation

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2017)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2017

Influence of tropical South Atlantic sea-surface temperatures on the Indian summer monsoon in CMIP5 models

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2017)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2017

Study of the global and regional climatic impacts of ENSO magnitude using SPEEDY AGCM

JOURNAL OF EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE (2017)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2017

Impact of Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation on Indian summer monsoon rainfall: an assessment from CMIP5 climate models

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2017)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2017

The transient atmospheric response to a reduction of sea‐ice cover in the Barents and Kara Seas

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (2017)

P. Ruggieri | F. Kucharski | R. Buizza | M. H. P. Ambaum

Journal article

2017

Western tropical Pacific multidecadal variability forced by the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2017)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2017

Multidecadal Changes in the Relationship of Storm Frequency over Euro-Mediterranean Region and ENSO During Boreal Winter

EARTH SYSTEMS AND ENVIRONMENT (2017)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2017

Climate Change Contribution to the Emergence or Re-Emergence of Parasitic Diseases

Infectious Diseases: Research and Treatment (2017)

Erica E Short | Cyril Caminade | Bolaji N Thomas

Journal article

2017

Fasciola and fasciolosis in ruminants in Europe: Identifying research needs

Transboundary and Emerging Diseases (2017)

N. J. Beesley | C. Caminade | J. Charlier | R. J. Flynn | J. E. Hodgkinson | A. Martinez-Moreno | M. Martinez-Valladares | J. Perez | L. Rinaldi | D. J. L. Williams

Journal article

2017

Global risk model for vector-borne transmission of Zika virus reveals the role of El Niño 2015.

Caminade C | Turner J | Metelmann S | Hesson JC | Blagrove MS | Solomon T | Morse AP | Baylis M

Journal article

2017

Comparison of Malaria Simulations Driven by Meteorological Observations and Reanalysis Products in Senegal

International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (2017)

Ibrahima Diouf | Belen Rodriguez-Fonseca | Abdoulaye Deme | Cyril Caminade | Andrew Morse | Moustapha Cisse | Ibrahima Sy | Ibrahima Dia | Volker Ermert | Jacques-André Ndione | Amadou Gaye

Journal article

2017

The role of climate change in a developing threat: The case of bluetonque in Europe

OIE Revue Scientifique et Technique (2017)

Baylis, M. | Caminade, C. | Turner, J. | Jones, A.E.

Journal article

2017

Dengue burden in India: recent trends and importance of climatic parameters

Emerging Microbes & Infections (2017)

Srinivasa Rao Mutheneni | Andrew P Morse | Cyril Caminade | Suryanaryana Murty Upadhyayula

Journal article

2017

Co-occurrence of viruses and mosquitoes at the vectors’ optimal climate range: An underestimated risk to temperate regions?

PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases (2017)

Marcus S. C. Blagrove | Cyril Caminade | Elisabeth Waldmann | Elizabeth R. Sutton | Maya Wardeh | Matthew Baylis | Christopher M. Barker

Journal article

2017

Non-hydrostatic effects on mountain wave breaking in directional shear flows

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (2017)

Guarino, M.-V. | Teixeira, M.A.C.

Journal article

2017

Reply to Gautret et al.

Caminade C | McIntyre KM | Jones AE

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