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Scientists in ICTP's Earth System Physics section publish their research in some of the world's most prestigious journals; for the latest publications, see below.

Journal article
2026
The interdecadal variations of cross-month correlation feature of the NWPSH
NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2026)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2026
Has the fire weather index emerged? Insights from global and regional climate models
Weather and Climate Extremes (2026)
Rita Nogherotto | Francesca Raffaele | Graziano Giuliani | Erika Coppola
Journal article
2026
Correction to: The attribution of human health outcomes to climate change: transdisciplinary practical guidance
Climatic Change (2026)
K. L. Ebi | A. Haines | R. F. S. Andrade | C. Åström | M. L. Barreto | A. Bonell | K. Bowen | N. Brink | C. Caminade | C. J. Carlson | R. Carter | P. Chua | G. Cissé | F. J. Colón-González | S. Dasgupta | L. A. Galvao ...
Journal article
2026
The Importance of Accounting for Stakeholder Values, Power Relationships and Language in Constructing Relevant and Trustworthy Climate Information
Earth's Future (2026)
Douglas Maraun | Dragana Bojovic | Wendy Parker | Theodore G. Shepherd | Stefan Sobolowski | Cyril Caminade | Alessandro Dosio | William J. Gutowski | Anna Sörensson | Leandro B. Diaz | Ibrahima Diouf | Francisco J. Doblas‐Reyes ...
Journal article
2026
High resolution physically based modelling reveals malaria incidence reduction by vector control measures
Scientific Reports (2026)
Mame Diarra Bousso Dieng | Stephan Munga | Adrian M. Tompkins | Miguel Garrido Zornoza | Cyril Caminade | Benjamin Fersch | Joël Arnault | Sammy Khagayi | Maximilian Schwarz | Simon Kariuki | Godfrey Bigogo | Harald Kunstmann
Journal article
2026
Impact of wind forcing on the equatorial Pacific interannual variability in Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP) simulations
Climate Dynamics (2026)
Arthur Prigent | Riccardo Farneti | Fred Kucharski | Antonietta Capotondi | Joke F. Lübbecke
Journal article
2025
A global CORDEX-based dataset delineating urban areas and their surroundings to assess climate change in megacities
Scientific Data (2025)
Javier Diez-Sierra | Yaiza Quintana | Gaby S. Langendijk | Josipa Milovac | Matthias Demuzere | Rita Nogherotto | Joni-Pekka Pietikäinen | Diana Rechid | Natalia Zazulie | Silvina A. Solman | Jesús Fernández
Journal article
2025
Drying Tropical America Under Global Warming: Mechanism and Emergent Constraint
Geophysical Research Letters (2025)
Chao He | Xiaolong Chen | Tianjun Zhou | Fred Kucharski | Fengfei Song
Journal article
2025
Interannual variability of net primary productivity in the northwest African coastal upwelling system and their relation to Dakar Niños
Scientific Reports (2025)
Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue | Arthur Prigent | Joke F. Lübbecke | Peter Brandt | Julien Jouanno
Journal article
2025
Potential for Machine Learning Emulators to Augment Regional Climate Simulations in Provision of Local Climate Change Information
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2025)
Elizabeth J. Kendon | Henry Addison | Antoine Doury | Samuel Somot | Peter A. G. Watson | Ben B. B. Booth | Erika Coppola | José Manuel Gutiérrez | James Murphy | Calum Scullion
Journal article
2025
Graph neural networks for hourly precipitation projections at the convection permitting scale with a novel hybrid imperfect framework
Environmental Data Science (2025)
Valentina Blasone | Erika Coppola | Guido Sanguinetti | Viplove Arora | Serafina Di Gioia | Luca Bortolussi
Journal article
2025
The 5th generation regional climate modeling system, RegCM5: the first convection-permitting European wide simulation and validation over the CORDEX-CORE domains
Climate Dynamics (2025)
Erika Coppola | Filippo Giorgi | Graziano Giuliani | Emanuela Pichelli | James M. Ciarlo | Francesca Raffaele | Rita Nogherotto | Michelle Simões Reboita | Chen Lu | Natalia Zazulie | Luiza Vargas-Heinz | Andressa Andrade Cardoso ...

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All publications
Journal article
2019
Long-term ENSO relationship to precipitation and storm frequency over western Himalaya-Karakoram-Hindukush region during the winter season
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2019)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2019
Recent Acceleration of Arabian Sea Warming Induced by the Atlantic-Western Pacific Trans-basin Multidecadal Variability
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2019)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2019
Weakening Atlantic Nino-Pacific connection under greenhouse warming
SCIENCE ADVANCES (2019)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2019
Impact of recent and future climate change on vector‐borne diseases
Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences (2019)
Cyril Caminade | K. Marie McIntyre | Anne E. Jones
Journal article
2019
The response of precipitation characteristics to global warming from climate projections
Earth System Dynamics (2019)
Filippo Giorgi | Francesca Raffaele | Erika Coppola
Journal article
2019
Extreme precipitation events over Saudi Arabia during the wet season and their associated teleconnections
Atmospheric Research (2019)
Rana Muhammad Atif | Mansour Almazroui | Sajjad Saeed | Muhammad Adnan Abid | M. Nazrul Islam | Muhammad Ismail
Journal article
2019
Spring Aleutian Low Weakening and Surface Cooling Trend in Northwest North America During Recent Decades
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES (2019)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2019
The Response of the Midlatitude Jet to Regional Polar Heating in a Simple Storm-Track Model
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2019)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2019
Contrasting spatial structures of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation between observations and slab ocean model simulations
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2019)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2019
Recent Acceleration of Arabian Sea Warming Induced by the Atlantic‐Western Pacific Trans‐basin Multidecadal Variability
Geophysical Research Letters (2019)
Cheng Sun | Jianping Li | Fred Kucharski | In‐Sik Kang | Fei‐Fei Jin | Kaicun Wang | Chunzai Wang | Ruiqiang Ding | Fei Xie
Journal article
2019
Towards understanding the global and regional climatic impacts of Modoki magnitude
GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE (2019)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2019
Ekman pumping mechanism driving precipitation anomalies in response to equatorial heating
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2019)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2019
Variations in ozone and greenhouse gases as drivers of Southern Hemisphere climate in a medium-complexity global climate model
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2019)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2019
Long-term ENSO relationship to precipitation and storm frequency over western Himalaya–Karakoram–Hindukush region during the winter season
Climate Dynamics (2019)
Kamil, S. | Almazroui, M. | Kang, I.-S. | Hanif, M. | Kucharski, F. | Abid, M.A. | Saeed, F.
Journal article
2019
Weakening Atlantic Niño–Pacific connection under greenhouse warming
Science Advances (2019)
Jia, F. | Cai, W. | Wu, L. | Gan, B. | Wang, G. | Kucharski, F. | Chang, P. | Keenlyside, N.
Journal article
2019
Modal Decomposition of the Global Response to Tropical Heating Perturbations Resembling MJO
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES (2019)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2019
A heuristic dynamical model of the North Atlantic Oscillation with a Lorenz-type chaotic attractor
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2019)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2019
Potential predictability of Arabian peninsula summer surface air temperature in the North American multimodel ensemble
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2019)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2019
A modified seasonal cycle during MIS31 super-interglacial favors stronger interannual ENSO and monsoon variability
Climate of the Past (2019)
Flavio Justino | Fred Kucharski | Douglas Lindemann | Aaron Wilson | Frode Stordal
Book chapter
2019
An I/O Analysis of HPC Workloads on CephFS and Lustre
Alberto Chiusole | Stefano Cozzini | Daniel van der Ster | Massimo Lamanna | Graziano Giuliani
Journal article
2019
Abstracts of Oral Presentations
Transactions of The Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene (2019)
Cyril Caminade
Journal article
2019
Impact of recent and future climate change on vector-borne diseases
Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences (2019)
Cyril Caminade | K. Marie McIntyre | Anne E. Jones
Journal article
2019
The Moderate Impact of the 2015 El Niño over East Africa and Its Representation in Seasonal Reforecasts
Journal of Climate (2019)
David MacLeod | Cyril Caminade
Journal article
2019
Lag effect of climatic variables on dengue burden in India
Epidemiology and Infection (2019)
Satya Ganesh Kakarla | Cyril Caminade | Srinivasa Rao Mutheneni | Andrew P Morse | Suryanaryana Murty Upadhyayula | Madhusudhan Rao Kadiri | Sriram Kumaraswamy
Journal article
2019
Modeling Potential Habitat for Amblyomma Tick Species in California
Insects (2019)
Emily L. Pascoe | Matteo Marcantonio | Cyril Caminade | Janet E. Foley
Journal article
2019
Agreement between reconstructed and modeled boreal precipitation of the last interglacial
Science Advances (2019)
Scussolini, P. | Bakker, P. | Guo, C. | Stepanek, C. | Zhang, Q. | Braconnot, P. | Cao, J. | Guarino, M.-V. | Coumou, D. | Prange, M. | Ward, P.J. | Renssen, H. | Kageyama, M. | Otto-Bliesner, B. | Aerts, J.C.J.H.
Journal article
2019
The effect of temperature, farm density and foot-and-mouth disease restrictions on the 2007 UK bluetongue outbreak
Scientific Reports (2019)
Turner, J. | Jones, A.E. | Heath, A.E. | Wardeh, M. | Caminade, C. | Kluiters, G. | Bowers, R.G. | Morse, A.P. | Baylis, M.
Journal article
2019
Impact of ENSO 2016–17 on regional climate and malaria vector dynamics in Tanzania
Environmental Research Letters (2019)
Katharina Kreppel | Cyril Caminade | Nicodem Govella | Andrew P Morse | Heather M Ferguson | Matthew Baylis
Journal article
2019
The UK’s suitability for Aedes albopictus in current and future climates
Journal of The Royal Society Interface (2019)
S. Metelmann | C. Caminade | A. E. Jones | J. M. Medlock | M. Baylis | A. P. Morse
Journal article
2019
Bluetongue risk under future climates
Nature Climate Change (2019)
Anne E. Jones | Joanne Turner | Cyril Caminade | Andrew E. Heath | Maya Wardeh | Georgette Kluiters | Peter J. Diggle | Andrew P. Morse | Matthew Baylis

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