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Scientists in ICTP's Earth System Physics section publish their research in some of the world's most prestigious journals; for the latest publications, see below.

Journal article
2026
The interdecadal variations of cross-month correlation feature of the NWPSH
NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2026)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2026
Has the fire weather index emerged? Insights from global and regional climate models
Weather and Climate Extremes (2026)
Rita Nogherotto | Francesca Raffaele | Graziano Giuliani | Erika Coppola
Journal article
2026
Correction to: The attribution of human health outcomes to climate change: transdisciplinary practical guidance
Climatic Change (2026)
K. L. Ebi | A. Haines | R. F. S. Andrade | C. Åström | M. L. Barreto | A. Bonell | K. Bowen | N. Brink | C. Caminade | C. J. Carlson | R. Carter | P. Chua | G. Cissé | F. J. Colón-González | S. Dasgupta | L. A. Galvao ...
Journal article
2026
The Importance of Accounting for Stakeholder Values, Power Relationships and Language in Constructing Relevant and Trustworthy Climate Information
Earth's Future (2026)
Douglas Maraun | Dragana Bojovic | Wendy Parker | Theodore G. Shepherd | Stefan Sobolowski | Cyril Caminade | Alessandro Dosio | William J. Gutowski | Anna Sörensson | Leandro B. Diaz | Ibrahima Diouf | Francisco J. Doblas‐Reyes ...
Journal article
2026
High resolution physically based modelling reveals malaria incidence reduction by vector control measures
Scientific Reports (2026)
Mame Diarra Bousso Dieng | Stephan Munga | Adrian M. Tompkins | Miguel Garrido Zornoza | Cyril Caminade | Benjamin Fersch | Joël Arnault | Sammy Khagayi | Maximilian Schwarz | Simon Kariuki | Godfrey Bigogo | Harald Kunstmann
Journal article
2026
Impact of wind forcing on the equatorial Pacific interannual variability in Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP) simulations
Climate Dynamics (2026)
Arthur Prigent | Riccardo Farneti | Fred Kucharski | Antonietta Capotondi | Joke F. Lübbecke
Journal article
2025
A global CORDEX-based dataset delineating urban areas and their surroundings to assess climate change in megacities
Scientific Data (2025)
Javier Diez-Sierra | Yaiza Quintana | Gaby S. Langendijk | Josipa Milovac | Matthias Demuzere | Rita Nogherotto | Joni-Pekka Pietikäinen | Diana Rechid | Natalia Zazulie | Silvina A. Solman | Jesús Fernández
Journal article
2025
Drying Tropical America Under Global Warming: Mechanism and Emergent Constraint
Geophysical Research Letters (2025)
Chao He | Xiaolong Chen | Tianjun Zhou | Fred Kucharski | Fengfei Song
Journal article
2025
Interannual variability of net primary productivity in the northwest African coastal upwelling system and their relation to Dakar Niños
Scientific Reports (2025)
Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue | Arthur Prigent | Joke F. Lübbecke | Peter Brandt | Julien Jouanno
Journal article
2025
Potential for Machine Learning Emulators to Augment Regional Climate Simulations in Provision of Local Climate Change Information
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2025)
Elizabeth J. Kendon | Henry Addison | Antoine Doury | Samuel Somot | Peter A. G. Watson | Ben B. B. Booth | Erika Coppola | José Manuel Gutiérrez | James Murphy | Calum Scullion
Journal article
2025
Graph neural networks for hourly precipitation projections at the convection permitting scale with a novel hybrid imperfect framework
Environmental Data Science (2025)
Valentina Blasone | Erika Coppola | Guido Sanguinetti | Viplove Arora | Serafina Di Gioia | Luca Bortolussi
Journal article
2025
The 5th generation regional climate modeling system, RegCM5: the first convection-permitting European wide simulation and validation over the CORDEX-CORE domains
Climate Dynamics (2025)
Erika Coppola | Filippo Giorgi | Graziano Giuliani | Emanuela Pichelli | James M. Ciarlo | Francesca Raffaele | Rita Nogherotto | Michelle Simões Reboita | Chen Lu | Natalia Zazulie | Luiza Vargas-Heinz | Andressa Andrade Cardoso ...

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All publications
Journal article
2020
Regional climate downscaling over Europe: perspectives from the EURO-CORDEX community
Regional Environmental Change (2020)
Jacob, D. | Teichmann, C. | Sobolowski, S. | Katragkou, E. | Anders, I. | Belda, M. | Benestad, R. | Boberg, F. | Buonomo, E. | Cardoso, R.M. | Casanueva, A. | Christensen, O.B. | Christensen, J.H. | Coppola, E. | De Cruz, L. ...
Journal article
2020
Comparing Methods to Constrain Future European Climate Projections Using a Consistent Framework
Journal of Climate (2020)
Rita Nogherotto
Journal article
2020
Thermodynamical properties associated with the Indian summer monsoon rainfall using a regional climate model
Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2020)
Mishra, A.K. | Dwivedi, S. | Di Sante, F. | Coppola, E.
Journal article
2020
Future global meteorological drought hot spots: A study based on CORDEX data
Journal of Climate (2020)
Spinoni, J. | Barbosa, P. | Bucchignani, E. | Cassano, J. | Cavazos, T. | Christensen, J.H. | Christensen, O.B. | Coppola, E. | Evans, J. | Geyer, B. | Giorgi, F. | Hadjinicolaou, P. | Jacob, D. | Katzfey, J. | Koenigk, T. ...
Journal article
2020
The role of an Indian Ocean heating dipole in the ENSO teleconnection to the North Atlantic European region in early winter during 20th century in Reanalysis and CMIP5 simulations
Journal of Climate (2020)
Manish K. Joshi | Muhammad Adnan Abid | Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2020
Potential predictability of boreal winter precipitation over central-southwest Asia in the North American multi-model ensemble
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2020)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2020
Predicting peak summer monsoon precipitation over Pakistan in ECMWF SEAS5 and North American Multimodel Ensemble
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2020)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2020
A new perspective on ENSO-Indian summer monsoon rainfall relationship in a warming environment
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2020)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2020
The Footprint of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on the Intensity of Tropical Cyclones Over the Western North Pacific
FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE (2020)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2020
Assessing Changes in Characteristics of Hot Extremes Over India in a Warming Environment and their Driving Mechanisms
SCIENTIFIC REPORTS (2020)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2020
Tropical Indian Ocean Mediates ENSO Influence Over Central Southwest Asia During the Wet Season
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2020)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2020
Atlantic Ocean influence on Middle East summer surface air temperature
NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2020)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2020
Dynamics of the ENSO Teleconnection and NAO Variability in the North Atlantic-European Late Winter
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2020)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2020
Understanding the influence of ENSO patterns on drought over southern Africa using SPEEDY
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2020)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2020
Near‐Future Anthropogenic Aerosol Emission Scenarios and Their Direct Radiative Effects on the Present‐Day Characteristics of the Indian Summer Monsoon
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2020)
Sushant Das | Filippo Giorgi | Graziano Giuliani | Sagnik Dey | Erika Coppola
Journal article
2020
Recent Decrease of Summer Sea Ice in the Weddell Sea, Antarctica
Geophysical Research Letters (2020)
Turner, J. | Guarino, M.V. | Arnatt, J. | Jena, B. | Marshall, G.J. | Phillips, T. | Bajish, C.C. | Clem, K. | Wang, Z. | Andersson, T. | Murphy, E.J. | Cavanagh, R.
Journal article
2020
Machine dependence and reproducibility for coupled climate simulations: The HadGEM3-GC3.1 CMIP Preindustrial simulation
Geoscientific Model Development (2020)
Guarino, M.-V. | Sime, L.C. | Schroeder, D. | Lister, G.M.S. | Hatcher, R.
Journal article
2020
Sea-ice-free Arctic during the Last Interglacial supports fast future loss
Nature Climate Change (2020)
Guarino, M.-V. | Sime, L.C. | Schröeder, D. | Malmierca-Vallet, I. | Rosenblum, E. | Ringer, M. | Ridley, J. | Feltham, D. | Bitz, C. | Steig, E.J. | Wolff, E. | Stroeve, J. | Sellar, A.
Journal article
2020
Modelling the impact of climate change on the distribution and abundance of tsetse in Northern Zimbabwe
Parasites & Vectors (2020)
Joshua Longbottom | Cyril Caminade | Harry S. Gibson | Daniel J. Weiss | Steve Torr | Jennifer S. Lord
Journal article
2020
Comparison of past and future simulations of ENSO in CMIP5/PMIP3 and CMIP6/PMIP4 models
Climate of the Past (2020)
Brown, J.R. | Brierley, C.M. | An, S.-I. | Guarino, M.-V. | Stevenson, S. | Williams, C.J.R. | Zhang, Q. | Zhao, A. | Abe-Ouchi, A. | Braconnot, P. | Brady, E.C. | Chandan, D. | D'Agostino, R. | Guo, C. | Legrande, A.N. ...
Journal article
2020
Potential for Zika virus transmission by mosquitoes in temperate climates
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences (2020)
Marcus S. C. Blagrove | Cyril Caminade | Peter J. Diggle | Edward I. Patterson | Ken Sherlock | Gail E. Chapman | Jenny Hesson | Soeren Metelmann | Philip J. McCall | Gareth Lycett | Jolyon Medlock | Grant L. Hughes ...
Journal article
2020
CMIP6/PMIP4 simulations of the mid-Holocene and Last Interglacial using HadGEM3: Comparison to the pre-industrial era, previous model versions and proxy data
Climate of the Past (2020)
J. R. Williams, C. | Guarino, M.-V. | Capron, E. | Malmierca-Vallet, I. | S. Singarayer, J. | C. Sime, L. | J. Lunt, D. | J. Valdes, P.
Journal article
2020
Climate Variability and Malaria over West Africa
The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene (2020)
Ibrahima Diouf | Belén Rodriguez Fonseca | Cyril Caminade | Wassila M. Thiaw | Abdoulaye Deme | Andrew P. Morse | Jacques-André Ndione | Amadou Thierno Gaye | Anta Diaw | Marie Khemesse Ngom Ndiaye
Journal article
2020
The Regional Earth System Model RegCM‐ES: Evaluation of the Mediterranean Climate and Marine Biogeochemistry
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2020)
Marco Reale | Filippo Giorgi | Cosimo Solidoro | Valeria Di Biagio | Fabio Di Sante | Laura Mariotti | Riccardo Farneti | Gianmaria Sannino
Journal article
2020
Ocean‐Only FAFMIP: Understanding Regional Patterns of Ocean Heat Content and Dynamic Sea Level Change
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2020)
Alexander Todd | Laure Zanna | Matthew Couldrey | Jonathan Gregory | Quran Wu | John A. Church | Riccardo Farneti | René Navarro‐Labastida | Kewei Lyu | Oleg Saenko | Duo Yang | Xuebin Zhang
Journal article
2020
South Asian monsoon response to weakening of Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a warming climate
Climate Dynamics (2020)
N. Sandeep | P. Swapna | R. Krishnan | R. Farneti | A. G. Prajeesh | D. C. Ayantika | S. Manmeet
Journal article
2020
An assessment of the Indian Ocean mean state and seasonal cycle in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations
Ocean Modelling (2020)
H. Rahaman | U. Srinivasu | S. Panickal | J.V. Durgadoo | S.M. Griffies | M. Ravichandran | A. Bozec | A. Cherchi | A. Voldoire | D . Sidorenko | E.P. Chassignet | G. Danabasoglu | H. Tsujino | K. Getzlaff | M. Ilicak ...
Journal article
2020
Observed Modulation of the Tropical Radiation Budget by Deep Convective Organization and Lower‐Tropospheric Stability
AGU Advances (2020)
S. Bony | A. Semie | R. J. Kramer | B. Soden | A. M. Tompkins | K. A. Emanuel
Journal article
2020
Monthly entomological inoculation rate data for studying the seasoanality of malaria transmission in Africa
Data (2020)
Yamba, E.I. | Tompkins, A.M. | Fink, A.H. | Ermert, V. | Amelie, M.D. | Amekudzi, L.K. | Briët, O.J.T.
Journal article
2020
Projected shifts in the distribution of malaria vectors due to climate change
Climatic Change (2020)
Karypidou, M.C. | Almpanidou, V. | Tompkins, A.M. | Mazaris, A.D. | Gewehr, S. | Mourelatos, S. | Katragkou, E.

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