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Scientists in ICTP's Earth System Physics section publish their research in some of the world's most prestigious journals; for the latest publications, see below.

Journal article
2026
The interdecadal variations of cross-month correlation feature of the NWPSH
NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2026)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2026
Has the fire weather index emerged? Insights from global and regional climate models
Weather and Climate Extremes (2026)
Rita Nogherotto | Francesca Raffaele | Graziano Giuliani | Erika Coppola
Journal article
2026
Correction to: The attribution of human health outcomes to climate change: transdisciplinary practical guidance
Climatic Change (2026)
K. L. Ebi | A. Haines | R. F. S. Andrade | C. Åström | M. L. Barreto | A. Bonell | K. Bowen | N. Brink | C. Caminade | C. J. Carlson | R. Carter | P. Chua | G. Cissé | F. J. Colón-González | S. Dasgupta | L. A. Galvao ...
Journal article
2026
The Importance of Accounting for Stakeholder Values, Power Relationships and Language in Constructing Relevant and Trustworthy Climate Information
Earth's Future (2026)
Douglas Maraun | Dragana Bojovic | Wendy Parker | Theodore G. Shepherd | Stefan Sobolowski | Cyril Caminade | Alessandro Dosio | William J. Gutowski | Anna Sörensson | Leandro B. Diaz | Ibrahima Diouf | Francisco J. Doblas‐Reyes ...
Journal article
2026
High resolution physically based modelling reveals malaria incidence reduction by vector control measures
Scientific Reports (2026)
Mame Diarra Bousso Dieng | Stephan Munga | Adrian M. Tompkins | Miguel Garrido Zornoza | Cyril Caminade | Benjamin Fersch | Joël Arnault | Sammy Khagayi | Maximilian Schwarz | Simon Kariuki | Godfrey Bigogo | Harald Kunstmann
Journal article
2026
Impact of wind forcing on the equatorial Pacific interannual variability in Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP) simulations
Climate Dynamics (2026)
Arthur Prigent | Riccardo Farneti | Fred Kucharski | Antonietta Capotondi | Joke F. Lübbecke
Journal article
2025
A global CORDEX-based dataset delineating urban areas and their surroundings to assess climate change in megacities
Scientific Data (2025)
Javier Diez-Sierra | Yaiza Quintana | Gaby S. Langendijk | Josipa Milovac | Matthias Demuzere | Rita Nogherotto | Joni-Pekka Pietikäinen | Diana Rechid | Natalia Zazulie | Silvina A. Solman | Jesús Fernández
Journal article
2025
Drying Tropical America Under Global Warming: Mechanism and Emergent Constraint
Geophysical Research Letters (2025)
Chao He | Xiaolong Chen | Tianjun Zhou | Fred Kucharski | Fengfei Song
Journal article
2025
Interannual variability of net primary productivity in the northwest African coastal upwelling system and their relation to Dakar Niños
Scientific Reports (2025)
Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue | Arthur Prigent | Joke F. Lübbecke | Peter Brandt | Julien Jouanno
Journal article
2025
Potential for Machine Learning Emulators to Augment Regional Climate Simulations in Provision of Local Climate Change Information
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2025)
Elizabeth J. Kendon | Henry Addison | Antoine Doury | Samuel Somot | Peter A. G. Watson | Ben B. B. Booth | Erika Coppola | José Manuel Gutiérrez | James Murphy | Calum Scullion
Journal article
2025
Graph neural networks for hourly precipitation projections at the convection permitting scale with a novel hybrid imperfect framework
Environmental Data Science (2025)
Valentina Blasone | Erika Coppola | Guido Sanguinetti | Viplove Arora | Serafina Di Gioia | Luca Bortolussi
Journal article
2025
The 5th generation regional climate modeling system, RegCM5: the first convection-permitting European wide simulation and validation over the CORDEX-CORE domains
Climate Dynamics (2025)
Erika Coppola | Filippo Giorgi | Graziano Giuliani | Emanuela Pichelli | James M. Ciarlo | Francesca Raffaele | Rita Nogherotto | Michelle Simões Reboita | Chen Lu | Natalia Zazulie | Luiza Vargas-Heinz | Andressa Andrade Cardoso ...

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All publications
Journal article
2021
Projections of river floods in Europe using EURO-CORDEX, CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations
International Journal of Climatology (2021)
Di Sante, F. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F.
Journal article
2021
The importance of inter‐basin atmospheric teleconnection in the SST footprint of Atlantic multidecadal oscillation over western Pacific
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Sun, C. | Liu, Y. | Xue, J. | Kucharski, F. | Li, J. | Li, X.
Journal article
2021
Assessment of CMIP6 Performance and Projected Temperature and Precipitation Changes Over South America
EARTH SYSTEMS AND ENVIRONMENT (2021)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2021
ENSO teleconnections in an ensemble of CORDEX-CORE regional simulations
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2021)
Fred Kucharski
Book chapter
2021
Indian summer monsoon and its teleconnection with Pacific decadal variability
Indian Summer Monsoon Variability: El Niño-Teleconnections and Beyond (2021)
Joshi, M.K. | Kucharski, F. | Rai, A. | Kulkarni, A.
Journal article
2021
The North Pacific Blob acts to increase the predictability of the Atlantic warm pool
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2021)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2021
The Role of an Indian Ocean Heating Dipole in the ENSO Teleconnection to the North Atlantic European Region in Early Winter during the Twentieth Century in Reanalysis and CMIP5 Simulations
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2021)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2021
Sensitivity of Carbonaceous Aerosol Properties to the Implementation of a Dynamic Aging Parameterization in the Regional Climate Model RegCM
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2021)
Sudipta Ghosh | Nicole Riemer | Graziano Giuliani | Filippo Giorgi | Dilip Ganguly | Sagnik Dey
Journal article
2021
The contribution of melt ponds to enhanced Arctic sea-ice melt during the Last Interglacial
Cryosphere (2021)
DIamond, R. | Sime, L.C. | Schroeder, D. | Guarino, M.-V.
Journal article
2021
Assessing the suitability for Aedes albopictus and dengue transmission risk in China with a delay differential equation model
PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases (2021)
Soeren Metelmann | Xiaobo Liu | Liang Lu | Cyril Caminade | Keke Liu | Lina Cao | Jolyon M. Medlock | Matthew Baylis | Andrew P. Morse | Qiyong Liu | Kate Zinszer
Journal article
2021
A multi-model CMIP6-PMIP4 study of Arctic sea ice at 127 ka: Sea ice data compilation and model differences
Climate of the Past (2021)
Kageyama, M. | Sime, L.C. | Sicard, M. | Guarino, M.-V. | De Vernal, A. | Stein, R. | Schroeder, D. | Malmierca-Vallet, I. | Abe-Ouchi, A. | Bitz, C. | Braconnot, P. | Brady, E.C. | Cao, J. | Chamberlain, M.A. | Feltham, D. ...
Book chapter
2021
How to model the impact of climate change on vector-borne diseases?
Climate, ticks and disease (2021)
Cyril Caminade
Journal article
2021
Oceanic Influence on Seasonal Malaria Incidence in West Africa.
Weather, Climate, and Society (2021)
Cyril Caminade
Journal article
2021
Impact of climatic, demographic and disease control factors on the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in large cities worldwide
One Health (2021)
Soeren Metelmann | Karan Pattni | Liam Brierley | Lisa Cavalerie | Cyril Caminade | Marcus S.C. Blagrove | Joanne Turner | Kieran J. Sharkey | Matthew Baylis
Journal article
2021
Sea surface temperature in continental and insular coastal Colombian waters: observations of the recent past and near-term numerical projections
Latin American Journal of Aquatic Research (2021)
Nancy Villegas | Igor Malikov | Riccardo Farneti
Journal article
2021
Low-frequency variability of the Pacific Subtropical Cells as reproduced by coupled models and ocean reanalyses
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2021)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2021
Separating the indian and pacific ocean impacts on the euro-atlantic response to enso and its transition from early to late winter
Journal of Climate (2021)
Abid, M.A. | Kucharski, F. | Molteni, F. | Kang, I.-S. | Tompkins, A.M. | Almazroui, M.
Journal article
2021
Impact of a Mixed Ocean Layer and the Diurnal Cycle on Convective Aggregation
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2021)
Tompkins, A.M. | Semie, A.G.
Journal article
2021
Impact of an accelerated melting of Greenland on malaria distribution over Africa
Nature Communications (2021)
Alizée Chemison | Gilles Ramstein | Adrian M. Tompkins | Dimitri Defrance | Guigone Camus | Margaux Charra | Cyril Caminade
Journal article
2021
Projecting the risk of mosquito-borne diseases in a warmer and more populated world: a multi-model, multi-scenario intercomparison modelling study
The Lancet Planetary Health (2021)
Felipe J Colón-González | Maquins Odhiambo Sewe | Adrian M Tompkins | Henrik Sjödin | Alejandro Casallas | Joacim Rocklöv | Cyril Caminade | Rachel Lowe
Journal article
2020
Indian Ocean Variability and Interactions
INTERACTING CLIMATES OF OCEAN BASINS (2020)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2020
Global River Discharge and Floods in the Warmer Climate of the Last Interglacial
Geophysical Research Letters (2020)
Scussolini, P. | Eilander, D. | Sutanudjaja, E.H. | Ikeuchi, H. | Hoch, J.M. | Ward, P.J. | Bakker, P. | Otto-Bliesner, B.L. | Guo, C. | Stepanek, C. | Zhang, Q. | Braconnot, P. | Guarino, M.-V. | Muis, S. | Yamazaki, D. ...
Journal article
2020
Origin of Weakened Interannual Sea Surface Temperature Variability in the Southeastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean
Geophysical Research Letters (2020)
Arthur Prigent | Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue | Joke F. Lübbecke | Peter Brandt | Mojib Latif
Journal article
2020
Weakened SST variability in the tropical Atlantic Ocean since 2000
Climate Dynamics (2020)
Arthur Prigent | Joke F. Lübbecke | Tobias Bayr | Mojib Latif | Christian Wengel
Journal article
2020
Interdisciplinary regional collaboration for public health adaptation to climate change in the eastern mediterranean
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2020)
Hochman, A. | Alpert, P. | Baldi, M. | Bucchignani, E. | Coppola, E. | Dahdal, Y. | Davidovitch, N. | Georgiades, P. | Helgert, S. | Khreis, H. | Levine, H. | Materia, S. | Negev, M. | Salah, I. | Shaheen, M. | Giorgi, F.
Journal article
2020
A first-of-its-kind multi-model convection permitting ensemble for investigating convective phenomena over Europe and the Mediterranean
Climate Dynamics (2020)
Erika Coppola | Stefan Sobolowski | E. Pichelli | F. Raffaele | B. Ahrens | I. Anders | N. Ban | S. Bastin | M. Belda | D. Belusic | A. Caldas-Alvarez | R. M. Cardoso | S. Davolio | A. Dobler | J. Fernandez | L. Fita ...
Journal article
2020
Near-Future Anthropogenic Aerosol Emission Scenarios and Their Direct Radiative Effects on the Present-Day Characteristics of the Indian Summer Monsoon
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2020)
Das, S. | Giorgi, F. | Giuliani, G. | Dey, S. | Coppola, E.
Journal article
2020
Biogeophysical impacts of forestation in Europe: first results from the LUCAS (Land Use and Climate Across Scales) regional climate model intercomparison
Earth System Dynamics (2020)
Edouard L. Davin | Diana Rechid | Marcus Breil | Rita M. Cardoso | Erika Coppola | Peter Hoffmann | Lisa L. Jach | Eleni Katragkou | Nathalie de Noblet-Ducoudré | Kai Radtke | Mario Raffa | Pedro M. M. Soares | Giannis Sofiadis ...
Journal article
2020
Performance of RegCM4 simulations over Croatia and adjacent climate regions
International Journal of Climatology (2020)
Güttler, I. | Stilinović, T. | Srnec, L. | Branković, Č. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F.
Journal article
2020
Climate change impacts on water resources in the Mediterranean
Regional Environmental Change (2020)
Tramblay, Y. | Llasat, M.C. | Randin, C. | Coppola, E.

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