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Scientists in ICTP's Earth System Physics section publish their research in some of the world's most prestigious journals; for the latest publications, see below.

Journal article
2025
Sensitivity of Self‐Aggregation and the Key Role of the Free Convection Distance
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2025)
A. Casallas | A. M. Tompkins | C. Muller | G. Thompson
Journal article
2025
Drivers of mesoscale convective aggregation and spatial humidity variability in the tropical western Pacific
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2025)
Adrian Mark Tompkins | Alejandro Casallas | Michie Vianca De Vera
Journal article
2025
Tele-connected rainfall extremes over West and East Asia in April 2024 tied to Indian Ocean heating
Climate Dynamics (2025)
He, C. | Kucharski, F.
Journal article
2025
Representation of Dense Shelf Water formation by global oceanic reanalyses
Polar Research (2025)
Rafael Afonso do Nascimento Reis | Flávio Justino | Luis Felipe Ferreira De Mendonça | Riccardo Farneti | Marcos Tonelli | Jeferson Prietsch Machado | Douglas da Silva Lindemann
Journal article
2025
ENSO teleconnections and predictability of the boreal summer temperature over the Arabian Peninsula in C3S and Saudi-KAU seasonal forecast systems
Atmospheric Research (2025)
Almazroui, M. | Khalid, M.S. | Abid, M.A. | Rashid, I.U. | Kamil, S. | Siddiqui, H. | Islam, M.N. | Ismail, M. | Ehsan, M.A. | O'Brien, E. | Asiri, M. | Ahmed, R. | Saeed, S. | Samman, A.E. | Kucharski, F. | Arif, O.H. | Arishi, A.A.
Journal article
2024
Indo-Pacific regional extremes aggravated by changes in tropical weather patterns
Nature Geoscience (2024)
Dong, C. | Noyelle, R. | Messori, G. | Gualandi, A. | Fery, L. | Yiou, P. | Vrac, M. | D’Andrea, F. | Camargo, S.J. | Coppola, E. | Balsamo, G. | Chen, C. | Faranda, D. | Mengaldo, G.
Journal article
2024
Statistical physics and dynamical systems perspectives on geophysical extreme events
Physical Review E (2024)
Faranda, D. | Messori, G. | Alberti, T. | Alvarez-Castro, C. | Caby, T. | Cavicchia, L. | Coppola, E. | Donner, R.V. | Dubrulle, B. | Galfi, V.M. | Holmberg, E. | Lembo, V. | Noyelle, R. | Yiou, P. | Spagnolo, B. | Valenti, D. ...
Journal article
2024
The added value of simulated near-surface wind speed over the Alps from a km-scale multimodel ensemble
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Molina, M.O. | Careto, J.M. | Gutiérrez, C. | Sánchez, E. | Goergen, K. | Sobolowski, S. | Coppola, E. | Pichelli, E. | Ban, N. | Belus̆ić, D. | Short, C. | Caillaud, C. | Dobler, A. | Hodnebrog, Ø. | Kartsios, S. ...
Journal article
2024
Assessing observational constraints on future European climate in an out-of-sample framework
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2024)
O’Reilly, C.H. | Brunner, L. | Qasmi, S. | Nogherotto, R. | Ballinger, A.P. | Booth, B. | Befort, D.J. | Knutti, R. | Schurer, A.P. | Ribes, A. | Weisheimer, A. | Coppola, E. | McSweeney, C.
Journal article
2024
Towards better understanding the urban environment and its interactions with regional climate change - The WCRP CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study URB-RCC
Urban Climate (2024)
Langendijk, G.S. | Halenka, T. | Hoffmann, P. | Adinolfi, M. | Aldama Campino, A. | Asselin, O. | Bastin, S. | Bechtel, B. | Belda, M. | Bushenkova, A. | Campanale, A. | Chun, K.P. | Constantinidou, K. | Coppola, E. ...
Journal article
2024
ClimaMeter: contextualizing extreme weather in a changing climate
Weather and Climate Dynamics (2024)
Faranda, D. | Messori, G. | Coppola, E. | Alberti, T. | Vrac, M. | Pons, F. | Yiou, P. | Saint Lu, M. | Hisi, A.N.S. | Brockmann, P. | Dafis, S. | Mengaldo, G. | Vautard, R.
Journal article
2024
Impacts of Changing Atmospheric Circulation Patterns on Aviation Turbulence Over Europe
Geophysical Research Letters (2024)
Alberti, T. | Faranda, D. | Rapella, L. | Coppola, E. | Lepreti, F. | Dubrulle, B. | Carbone, V.

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All publications
Journal article
2020
Comparing Methods to Constrain Future European Climate Projections Using a Consistent Framework
Journal of Climate (2020)
Brunner, L. | McSweeney, C. | Ballinger, A.P. | Befort, D.J. | Benassi, M. | Booth, B. | Coppola, E. | Vries, H.D. | Harris, G. | Hegerl, G.C. | Knutti, R. | Lenderink, G. | Lowe, J. | Nogherotto, R. | O'Reilly, C. | Qasmi, S. ...
Journal article
2020
Thermodynamical properties associated with the Indian summer monsoon rainfall using a regional climate model
Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2020)
Mishra, A.K. | Dwivedi, S. | Di Sante, F. | Coppola, E.
Journal article
2020
Future global meteorological drought hot spots: A study based on CORDEX data
Journal of Climate (2020)
Spinoni, J. | Barbosa, P. | Bucchignani, E. | Cassano, J. | Cavazos, T. | Christensen, J.H. | Christensen, O.B. | Coppola, E. | Evans, J. | Geyer, B. | Giorgi, F. | Hadjinicolaou, P. | Jacob, D. | Katzfey, J. | Koenigk, T. ...
Journal article
2020
The role of an Indian Ocean heating dipole in the ENSO teleconnection to the North Atlantic European region in early winter during 20th century in Reanalysis and CMIP5 simulations
Journal of Climate (2020)
Manish K. Joshi | Muhammad Adnan Abid | Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2020
Potential predictability of boreal winter precipitation over central-southwest Asia in the North American multi-model ensemble
Climate Dynamics (2020)
Ehsan, M.A. | Kucharski, F. | Almazroui, M.
Journal article
2020
Predicting peak summer monsoon precipitation over Pakistan in ECMWF SEAS5 and North American Multimodel Ensemble
International Journal of Climatology (2020)
Ehsan, M.A. | Tippett, M.K. | Kucharski, F. | Almazroui, M. | Ismail, M.
Journal article
2020
A new perspective on ENSO-Indian summer monsoon rainfall relationship in a warming environment
Climate Dynamics (2020)
Pandey, P. | Dwivedi, S. | Goswami, B.N. | Kucharski, F.
Journal article
2020
The Footprint of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on the Intensity of Tropical Cyclones Over the Western North Pacific
Frontiers in Earth Science (2020)
Sun, C. | Liu, Y. | Gong, Z. | Kucharski, F. | Li, J. | Wang, Q. | Li, X.
Journal article
2020
Assessing Changes in Characteristics of Hot Extremes Over India in a Warming Environment and their Driving Mechanisms
Scientific Reports (2020)
Joshi, M.K. | Rai, A. | Kulkarni, A. | Kucharski, F.
Journal article
2020
Tropical Indian Ocean Mediates ENSO Influence Over Central Southwest Asia During the Wet Season
Geophysical Research Letters (2020)
Abid, M.A. | Ashfaq, M. | Kucharski, F. | Evans, K.J. | Almazroui, M.
Journal article
2020
Atlantic Ocean influence on Middle East summer surface air temperature
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2020)
Ehsan, M.A. | Nicolì, D. | Kucharski, F. | Almazroui, M. | Tippett, M.K. | Bellucci, A. | Ruggieri, P. | Kang, I.-S.
Journal article
2020
Dynamics of the ENSO teleconnection and NAO variability in the North Atlantic-European late winter
Journal of Climate (2020)
Mezzina, B. | García-Serrano, J. | Bladé, I. | Kucharski, F.
Journal article
2020
Understanding the influence of ENSO patterns on drought over southern Africa using SPEEDY
Climate Dynamics (2020)
Michelle Gore | Babatunde J. Abiodun | Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2020
Near‐Future Anthropogenic Aerosol Emission Scenarios and Their Direct Radiative Effects on the Present‐Day Characteristics of the Indian Summer Monsoon
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2020)
Sushant Das | Filippo Giorgi | Graziano Giuliani | Sagnik Dey | Erika Coppola
Journal article
2020
Recent Decrease of Summer Sea Ice in the Weddell Sea, Antarctica
Geophysical Research Letters (2020)
Turner, J. | Guarino, M.V. | Arnatt, J. | Jena, B. | Marshall, G.J. | Phillips, T. | Bajish, C.C. | Clem, K. | Wang, Z. | Andersson, T. | Murphy, E.J. | Cavanagh, R.
Journal article
2020
Machine dependence and reproducibility for coupled climate simulations: The HadGEM3-GC3.1 CMIP Preindustrial simulation
Geoscientific Model Development (2020)
Guarino, M.-V. | Sime, L.C. | Schroeder, D. | Lister, G.M.S. | Hatcher, R.
Journal article
2020
Modelling the impact of climate change on the distribution and abundance of tsetse in Northern Zimbabwe
Parasites & Vectors (2020)
Joshua Longbottom | Cyril Caminade | Harry S. Gibson | Daniel J. Weiss | Steve Torr | Jennifer S. Lord
Journal article
2020
Sea-ice-free Arctic during the Last Interglacial supports fast future loss
Nature Climate Change (2020)
Guarino, M.-V. | Sime, L.C. | Schröeder, D. | Malmierca-Vallet, I. | Rosenblum, E. | Ringer, M. | Ridley, J. | Feltham, D. | Bitz, C. | Steig, E.J. | Wolff, E. | Stroeve, J. | Sellar, A.
Journal article
2020
Potential for Zika virus transmission by mosquitoes in temperate climates
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences (2020)
Marcus S. C. Blagrove | Cyril Caminade | Peter J. Diggle | Edward I. Patterson | Ken Sherlock | Gail E. Chapman | Jenny Hesson | Soeren Metelmann | Philip J. McCall | Gareth Lycett | Jolyon Medlock | Grant L. Hughes ...
Journal article
2020
Comparison of past and future simulations of ENSO in CMIP5/PMIP3 and CMIP6/PMIP4 models
Climate of the Past (2020)
Brown, J.R. | Brierley, C.M. | An, S.-I. | Guarino, M.-V. | Stevenson, S. | Williams, C.J.R. | Zhang, Q. | Zhao, A. | Abe-Ouchi, A. | Braconnot, P. | Brady, E.C. | Chandan, D. | D'Agostino, R. | Guo, C. | Legrande, A.N. ...
Journal article
2020
Climate Variability and Malaria over West Africa
The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene (2020)
Ibrahima Diouf | Belén Rodriguez Fonseca | Cyril Caminade | Wassila M. Thiaw | Abdoulaye Deme | Andrew P. Morse | Jacques-André Ndione | Amadou Thierno Gaye | Anta Diaw | Marie Khemesse Ngom Ndiaye
Journal article
2020
CMIP6/PMIP4 simulations of the mid-Holocene and Last Interglacial using HadGEM3: Comparison to the pre-industrial era, previous model versions and proxy data
Climate of the Past (2020)
J. R. Williams, C. | Guarino, M.-V. | Capron, E. | Malmierca-Vallet, I. | S. Singarayer, J. | C. Sime, L. | J. Lunt, D. | J. Valdes, P.
Journal article
2020
The Regional Earth System Model RegCM‐ES: Evaluation of the Mediterranean Climate and Marine Biogeochemistry
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2020)
marco reale | Filippo Giorgi | Cosimo Solidoro | Valeria DI BIAGIO | Fabio Di Sante | Laura Mariotti | Riccardo Farneti | Gianmaria Sannino
Journal article
2020
Ocean‐Only FAFMIP: Understanding Regional Patterns of Ocean Heat Content and Dynamic Sea Level Change
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2020)
Alexander Todd | Laure Zanna | Matthew Couldrey | Jonathan Gregory | Quran Wu | John Church | Riccardo Farneti | René Navarro‐Labastida | Kewei Lyu | Oleg Saenko | Duo Yang | Xuebin Zhang
Journal article
2020
South Asian monsoon response to weakening of Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a warming climate
Climate Dynamics (2020)
Sandeep Narayanasetti | P. Swapna | R. Krishnan | R. Farneti | A. G. Prajeesh | D. C. Ayantika | S. Manmeet
Journal article
2020
An assessment of the Indian Ocean mean state and seasonal cycle in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations
Ocean Modelling (2020)
H. Rahaman | U. Srinivasu | S. Panickal | J.V. Durgadoo | S.M. Griffies | M. Ravichandran | A. Bozec | A. Cherchi | A. Voldoire | D . Sidorenko | E.P. Chassignet | G. Danabasoglu | H. Tsujino | K. Getzlaff | M. Ilicak ...
Journal article
2020
Observed Modulation of the Tropical Radiation Budget by Deep Convective Organization and Lower‐Tropospheric Stability
AGU Advances (2020)
S. Bony | A. Semie | R. J. Kramer | B. Soden | A. M. Tompkins | K. A. Emanuel
Journal article
2020
Monthly entomological inoculation rate data for studying the seasoanality of malaria transmission in Africa
Data (2020)
Yamba, E.I. | Tompkins, A.M. | Fink, A.H. | Ermert, V. | Amelie, M.D. | Amekudzi, L.K. | Briët, O.J.T.
Journal article
2020
Projected shifts in the distribution of malaria vectors due to climate change
Climatic Change (2020)
Karypidou, M.C. | Almpanidou, V. | Tompkins, A.M. | Mazaris, A.D. | Gewehr, S. | Mourelatos, S. | Katragkou, E.
Journal article
2019
Impact of recent and future climate change on vector‐borne diseases
Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences (2019)
Cyril Caminade | K. Marie McIntyre | Anne E. Jones

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