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Scientists in ICTP's Earth System Physics section publish their research in some of the world's most prestigious journals; for the latest publications, see below.

Journal article
2025
Sensitivity of Self‐Aggregation and the Key Role of the Free Convection Distance
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2025)
A. Casallas | A. M. Tompkins | C. Muller | G. Thompson
Journal article
2025
Drivers of mesoscale convective aggregation and spatial humidity variability in the tropical western Pacific
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2025)
Adrian Mark Tompkins | Alejandro Casallas | Michie Vianca De Vera
Journal article
2025
Tele-connected rainfall extremes over West and East Asia in April 2024 tied to Indian Ocean heating
Climate Dynamics (2025)
He, C. | Kucharski, F.
Journal article
2025
Representation of Dense Shelf Water formation by global oceanic reanalyses
Polar Research (2025)
Rafael Afonso do Nascimento Reis | Flávio Justino | Luis Felipe Ferreira De Mendonça | Riccardo Farneti | Marcos Tonelli | Jeferson Prietsch Machado | Douglas da Silva Lindemann
Journal article
2025
ENSO teleconnections and predictability of the boreal summer temperature over the Arabian Peninsula in C3S and Saudi-KAU seasonal forecast systems
Atmospheric Research (2025)
Almazroui, M. | Khalid, M.S. | Abid, M.A. | Rashid, I.U. | Kamil, S. | Siddiqui, H. | Islam, M.N. | Ismail, M. | Ehsan, M.A. | O'Brien, E. | Asiri, M. | Ahmed, R. | Saeed, S. | Samman, A.E. | Kucharski, F. | Arif, O.H. | Arishi, A.A.
Journal article
2024
Indo-Pacific regional extremes aggravated by changes in tropical weather patterns
Nature Geoscience (2024)
Dong, C. | Noyelle, R. | Messori, G. | Gualandi, A. | Fery, L. | Yiou, P. | Vrac, M. | D’Andrea, F. | Camargo, S.J. | Coppola, E. | Balsamo, G. | Chen, C. | Faranda, D. | Mengaldo, G.
Journal article
2024
Statistical physics and dynamical systems perspectives on geophysical extreme events
Physical Review E (2024)
Faranda, D. | Messori, G. | Alberti, T. | Alvarez-Castro, C. | Caby, T. | Cavicchia, L. | Coppola, E. | Donner, R.V. | Dubrulle, B. | Galfi, V.M. | Holmberg, E. | Lembo, V. | Noyelle, R. | Yiou, P. | Spagnolo, B. | Valenti, D. ...
Journal article
2024
The added value of simulated near-surface wind speed over the Alps from a km-scale multimodel ensemble
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Molina, M.O. | Careto, J.M. | Gutiérrez, C. | Sánchez, E. | Goergen, K. | Sobolowski, S. | Coppola, E. | Pichelli, E. | Ban, N. | Belus̆ić, D. | Short, C. | Caillaud, C. | Dobler, A. | Hodnebrog, Ø. | Kartsios, S. ...
Journal article
2024
Assessing observational constraints on future European climate in an out-of-sample framework
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2024)
O’Reilly, C.H. | Brunner, L. | Qasmi, S. | Nogherotto, R. | Ballinger, A.P. | Booth, B. | Befort, D.J. | Knutti, R. | Schurer, A.P. | Ribes, A. | Weisheimer, A. | Coppola, E. | McSweeney, C.
Journal article
2024
Towards better understanding the urban environment and its interactions with regional climate change - The WCRP CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study URB-RCC
Urban Climate (2024)
Langendijk, G.S. | Halenka, T. | Hoffmann, P. | Adinolfi, M. | Aldama Campino, A. | Asselin, O. | Bastin, S. | Bechtel, B. | Belda, M. | Bushenkova, A. | Campanale, A. | Chun, K.P. | Constantinidou, K. | Coppola, E. ...
Journal article
2024
ClimaMeter: contextualizing extreme weather in a changing climate
Weather and Climate Dynamics (2024)
Faranda, D. | Messori, G. | Coppola, E. | Alberti, T. | Vrac, M. | Pons, F. | Yiou, P. | Saint Lu, M. | Hisi, A.N.S. | Brockmann, P. | Dafis, S. | Mengaldo, G. | Vautard, R.
Journal article
2024
Impacts of Changing Atmospheric Circulation Patterns on Aviation Turbulence Over Europe
Geophysical Research Letters (2024)
Alberti, T. | Faranda, D. | Rapella, L. | Coppola, E. | Lepreti, F. | Dubrulle, B. | Carbone, V.

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All publications
Journal article
2021
Projections of river floods in Europe using EURO-CORDEX, CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations
International Journal of Climatology (2021)
Di Sante, F. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F.
Journal article
2021
The importance of inter‐basin atmospheric teleconnection in the SST footprint of Atlantic multidecadal oscillation over western Pacific
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Sun, C. | Liu, Y. | Xue, J. | Kucharski, F. | Li, J. | Li, X.
Journal article
2021
Assessment of CMIP6 Performance and Projected Temperature and Precipitation Changes Over South America
Earth Systems and Environment (2021)
Almazroui, M. | Ashfaq, M. | Islam, M.N. | Rashid, I.U. | Kamil, S. | Abid, M.A. | O’Brien, E. | Ismail, M. | Reboita, M.S. | Sörensson, A.A. | Arias, P.A. | Alves, L.M. | Tippett, M.K. | Saeed, S. | Haarsma, R. | Doblas-Reyes, F.J. ...
Journal article
2021
ENSO teleconnections in an ensemble of CORDEX-CORE regional simulations
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Torres-Alavez, J.A. | Giorgi, F. | Kucharski, F. | Coppola, E. | Castro-García, L.
Book chapter
2021
Indian summer monsoon and its teleconnection with Pacific decadal variability
Indian Summer Monsoon Variability: El Niño-Teleconnections and Beyond (2021)
Joshi, M.K. | Kucharski, F. | Rai, A. | Kulkarni, A.
Journal article
2021
The North Pacific Blob acts to increase the predictability of the Atlantic warm pool
Environmental Research Letters (2021)
Liu, Y. | Sun, C. | Kucharski, F. | Li, J. | Wang, C. | Ding, R.
Journal article
2021
The Role of an Indian Ocean Heating Dipole in the ENSO Teleconnection to the North Atlantic European Region in Early Winter during the Twentieth Century in Reanalysis and CMIP5 Simulations
Journal of Climate (2021)
Joshi, M.K. | Abid, M.A. | Kucharski, F.
Journal article
2021
Sensitivity of Carbonaceous Aerosol Properties to the Implementation of a Dynamic Aging Parameterization in the Regional Climate Model RegCM
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2021)
Sudipta Ghosh | Nicole Riemer | Graziano Giuliani | Filippo Giorgi | Dilip Ganguly | Sagnik Dey
Journal article
2021
Assessing the suitability for Aedes albopictus and dengue transmission risk in China with a delay differential equation model
PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases (2021)
Soeren Metelmann | Xiaobo Liu | Liang Lu | Cyril Caminade | Keke Liu | Lina Cao | Jolyon M. Medlock | Matthew Baylis | Andrew P. Morse | Qiyong Liu | Kate Zinszer
Journal article
2021
The contribution of melt ponds to enhanced Arctic sea-ice melt during the Last Interglacial
Cryosphere (2021)
DIamond, R. | Sime, L.C. | Schroeder, D. | Guarino, M.-V.
Book chapter
2021
How to model the impact of climate change on vector-borne diseases?
Climate, ticks and disease (2021)
Cyril Caminade
Journal article
2021
A multi-model CMIP6-PMIP4 study of Arctic sea ice at 127 ka: Sea ice data compilation and model differences
Climate of the Past (2021)
Kageyama, M. | Sime, L.C. | Sicard, M. | Guarino, M.-V. | De Vernal, A. | Stein, R. | Schroeder, D. | Malmierca-Vallet, I. | Abe-Ouchi, A. | Bitz, C. | Braconnot, P. | Brady, E.C. | Cao, J. | Chamberlain, M.A. | Feltham, D. ...
Journal article
2021
Oceanic Influence on Seasonal Malaria Incidence in West Africa.
Weather, Climate, and Society (2021)
Cyril Caminade
Journal article
2021
Impact of climatic, demographic and disease control factors on the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in large cities worldwide
One Health (2021)
Soeren Metelmann | Karan Pattni | Liam Brierley | Lisa Cavalerie | Cyril Caminade | Marcus S.C. Blagrove | Joanne Turner | Kieran J. Sharkey | Matthew Baylis
Journal article
2021
Sea surface temperature in continental and insular coastal Colombian waters: observations of the recent past and near-term numerical projections
Latin American Journal of Aquatic Research (2021)
Nancy Liliana Villegas Bolaños | Igor Malikov | Riccardo Farneti
Journal article
2021
Low-frequency variability of the Pacific Subtropical Cells as reproduced by coupled models and ocean reanalyses
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Graffino, G. | Farneti, R. | Kucharski, F.
Journal article
2021
Separating the indian and pacific ocean impacts on the euro-atlantic response to enso and its transition from early to late winter
Journal of Climate (2021)
Abid, M.A. | Kucharski, F. | Molteni, F. | Kang, I.-S. | Tompkins, A.M. | Almazroui, M.
Journal article
2021
Impact of a Mixed Ocean Layer and the Diurnal Cycle on Convective Aggregation
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2021)
Tompkins, A.M. | Semie, A.G.
Journal article
2021
Impact of an accelerated melting of Greenland on malaria distribution over Africa
Nature Communications (2021)
Alizée Chemison | Gilles Ramstein | Adrian M. Tompkins | Dimitri Defrance | Guigone Camus | Margaux Charra | Cyril Caminade
Journal article
2021
Projecting the risk of mosquito-borne diseases in a warmer and more populated world: a multi-model, multi-scenario intercomparison modelling study
The Lancet Planetary Health (2021)
Felipe J Colón-González | Maquins Odhiambo Sewe | Adrian M Tompkins | Henrik Sjödin | Alejandro Casallas | Joacim Rocklöv | Cyril Caminade | Rachel Lowe
Journal article
2020
Global River Discharge and Floods in the Warmer Climate of the Last Interglacial
Geophysical Research Letters (2020)
Scussolini, P. | Eilander, D. | Sutanudjaja, E.H. | Ikeuchi, H. | Hoch, J.M. | Ward, P.J. | Bakker, P. | Otto-Bliesner, B.L. | Guo, C. | Stepanek, C. | Zhang, Q. | Braconnot, P. | Guarino, M.-V. | Muis, S. | Yamazaki, D. ...
Journal article
2020
Origin of Weakened Interannual Sea Surface Temperature Variability in the Southeastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean
Geophysical Research Letters (2020)
Arthur Prigent | Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue | Joke F. Lübbecke | Peter Brandt | Mojib Latif
Journal article
2020
Weakened SST variability in the tropical Atlantic Ocean since 2000
Climate Dynamics (2020)
Arthur Prigent | Joke F. Lübbecke | Tobias Bayr | Mojib Latif | Christian Wengel
Journal article
2020
Interdisciplinary regional collaboration for public health adaptation to climate change in the eastern mediterranean
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2020)
Hochman, A. | Alpert, P. | Baldi, M. | Bucchignani, E. | Coppola, E. | Dahdal, Y. | Davidovitch, N. | Georgiades, P. | Helgert, S. | Khreis, H. | Levine, H. | Materia, S. | Negev, M. | Salah, I. | Shaheen, M. | Giorgi, F.
Journal article
2020
A first-of-its-kind multi-model convection permitting ensemble for investigating convective phenomena over Europe and the Mediterranean
Climate Dynamics (2020)
Coppola, E. | Sobolowski, S. | Pichelli, E. | Raffaele, F. | Ahrens, B. | Anders, I. | Ban, N. | Bastin, S. | Belda, M. | Belusic, D. | Caldas-Alvarez, A. | Cardoso, R.M. | Davolio, S. | Dobler, A. | Fernandez, J. | Fita, L. ...
Journal article
2020
Near-Future Anthropogenic Aerosol Emission Scenarios and Their Direct Radiative Effects on the Present-Day Characteristics of the Indian Summer Monsoon
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2020)
Das, S. | Giorgi, F. | Giuliani, G. | Dey, S. | Coppola, E.
Journal article
2020
Biogeophysical impacts of forestation in Europe: First results from the LUCAS (Land Use and Climate across Scales) regional climate model intercomparison
Earth System Dynamics (2020)
Davin, E.L. | Rechid, D. | Breil, M. | Cardoso, R.M. | Coppola, E. | Hoffmann, P. | Jach, L.L. | Katragkou, E. | De Noblet-Ducoudré, N. | Radtke, K. | Raffa, M. | Soares, P.M.M. | Sofiadis, G. | Strada, S. | Strandberg, G. ...
Journal article
2020
Performance of RegCM4 simulations over Croatia and adjacent climate regions
International Journal of Climatology (2020)
Güttler, I. | Stilinović, T. | Srnec, L. | Branković, Č. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F.
Journal article
2020
Climate change impacts on water resources in the Mediterranean
Regional Environmental Change (2020)
Tramblay, Y. | Llasat, M.C. | Randin, C. | Coppola, E.
Journal article
2020
Regional climate downscaling over Europe: perspectives from the EURO-CORDEX community
Regional Environmental Change (2020)
Jacob, D. | Teichmann, C. | Sobolowski, S. | Katragkou, E. | Anders, I. | Belda, M. | Benestad, R. | Boberg, F. | Buonomo, E. | Cardoso, R.M. | Casanueva, A. | Christensen, O.B. | Christensen, J.H. | Coppola, E. | De Cruz, L. ...

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