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Scientists in ICTP's Earth System Physics section publish their research in some of the world's most prestigious journals; for the latest publications, see below.

Journal article
2025
Sensitivity of Self‐Aggregation and the Key Role of the Free Convection Distance
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2025)
A. Casallas | A. M. Tompkins | C. Muller | G. Thompson
Journal article
2025
Drivers of mesoscale convective aggregation and spatial humidity variability in the tropical western Pacific
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2025)
Adrian Mark Tompkins | Alejandro Casallas | Michie Vianca De Vera
Journal article
2025
Tele-connected rainfall extremes over West and East Asia in April 2024 tied to Indian Ocean heating
Climate Dynamics (2025)
He, C. | Kucharski, F.
Journal article
2025
Representation of Dense Shelf Water formation by global oceanic reanalyses
Polar Research (2025)
Rafael Afonso do Nascimento Reis | Flávio Justino | Luis Felipe Ferreira De Mendonça | Riccardo Farneti | Marcos Tonelli | Jeferson Prietsch Machado | Douglas da Silva Lindemann
Journal article
2025
ENSO teleconnections and predictability of the boreal summer temperature over the Arabian Peninsula in C3S and Saudi-KAU seasonal forecast systems
Atmospheric Research (2025)
Almazroui, M. | Khalid, M.S. | Abid, M.A. | Rashid, I.U. | Kamil, S. | Siddiqui, H. | Islam, M.N. | Ismail, M. | Ehsan, M.A. | O'Brien, E. | Asiri, M. | Ahmed, R. | Saeed, S. | Samman, A.E. | Kucharski, F. | Arif, O.H. | Arishi, A.A.
Journal article
2024
Indo-Pacific regional extremes aggravated by changes in tropical weather patterns
Nature Geoscience (2024)
Dong, C. | Noyelle, R. | Messori, G. | Gualandi, A. | Fery, L. | Yiou, P. | Vrac, M. | D’Andrea, F. | Camargo, S.J. | Coppola, E. | Balsamo, G. | Chen, C. | Faranda, D. | Mengaldo, G.
Journal article
2024
Statistical physics and dynamical systems perspectives on geophysical extreme events
Physical Review E (2024)
Faranda, D. | Messori, G. | Alberti, T. | Alvarez-Castro, C. | Caby, T. | Cavicchia, L. | Coppola, E. | Donner, R.V. | Dubrulle, B. | Galfi, V.M. | Holmberg, E. | Lembo, V. | Noyelle, R. | Yiou, P. | Spagnolo, B. | Valenti, D. ...
Journal article
2024
The added value of simulated near-surface wind speed over the Alps from a km-scale multimodel ensemble
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Molina, M.O. | Careto, J.M. | Gutiérrez, C. | Sánchez, E. | Goergen, K. | Sobolowski, S. | Coppola, E. | Pichelli, E. | Ban, N. | Belus̆ić, D. | Short, C. | Caillaud, C. | Dobler, A. | Hodnebrog, Ø. | Kartsios, S. ...
Journal article
2024
Assessing observational constraints on future European climate in an out-of-sample framework
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2024)
O’Reilly, C.H. | Brunner, L. | Qasmi, S. | Nogherotto, R. | Ballinger, A.P. | Booth, B. | Befort, D.J. | Knutti, R. | Schurer, A.P. | Ribes, A. | Weisheimer, A. | Coppola, E. | McSweeney, C.
Journal article
2024
Towards better understanding the urban environment and its interactions with regional climate change - The WCRP CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study URB-RCC
Urban Climate (2024)
Langendijk, G.S. | Halenka, T. | Hoffmann, P. | Adinolfi, M. | Aldama Campino, A. | Asselin, O. | Bastin, S. | Bechtel, B. | Belda, M. | Bushenkova, A. | Campanale, A. | Chun, K.P. | Constantinidou, K. | Coppola, E. ...
Journal article
2024
ClimaMeter: contextualizing extreme weather in a changing climate
Weather and Climate Dynamics (2024)
Faranda, D. | Messori, G. | Coppola, E. | Alberti, T. | Vrac, M. | Pons, F. | Yiou, P. | Saint Lu, M. | Hisi, A.N.S. | Brockmann, P. | Dafis, S. | Mengaldo, G. | Vautard, R.
Journal article
2024
Impacts of Changing Atmospheric Circulation Patterns on Aviation Turbulence Over Europe
Geophysical Research Letters (2024)
Alberti, T. | Faranda, D. | Rapella, L. | Coppola, E. | Lepreti, F. | Dubrulle, B. | Carbone, V.

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All publications
Journal article
2022
Variability in the meridional overturning circulation at 32°S in the Pacific Ocean diagnosed by inverse box models
Progress in Oceanography (2022)
Cristina Arumí-Planas | Alonso Hernández-Guerra | Verónica Caínzos | Pedro Vélez-Belchí | Riccardo Farneti | Matthew R. Mazloff | Sabine Mecking | Isabella Rosso | Lena M. Schulze Chretien | Kevin G. Speer | Lynne D. Talley
Journal article
2022
On the weakening association between South Asian Monsoon and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation
Climate Dynamics (2022)
Sandeep, N. | Swapna, P. | Krishnan, R. | Farneti, R. | Kucharski, F. | Modi, A. | Prajeesh, A.G. | Ayantika, D.C. | Manmeet, S.
Journal article
2021
Large-scale features of Last Interglacial climate: Results from evaluating the lig127k simulations for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6)-Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP4)
Climate of the Past (2021)
Otto-Bliesner, B.L. | Brady, E.C. | Zhao, A. | Brierley, C.M. | Axford, Y. | Capron, E. | Govin, A. | Hoffman, J.S. | Isaacs, E. | Kageyama, M. | Scussolini, P. | Tzedakis, P.C. | Williams, C.J.R. | Wolff, E. | Abe-Ouchi, A. ...
Journal article
2021
Evaluation of the Large EURO‐CORDEX Regional Climate Model Ensemble
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2021)
Robert Vautard | Nikolay Kadygrov | Carley Iles | Fredrik Boberg | Erasmo Buonomo | Katharina Bülow | Erika Coppola | Lola Corre | Erik van Meijgaard | Rita Nogherotto | Marit Sandstad | Clemens Schwingshackl | Samuel Somot ...
Journal article
2021
Assessment of the European Climate Projections as Simulated by the Large EURO‐CORDEX Regional and Global Climate Model Ensemble
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2021)
Rita Nogherotto
Journal article
2021
Correction to: Weakened SST variability in the tropical Atlantic Ocean since 2000
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Arthur Prigent | Joke F. Lübbecke | Tobias Bayr | Mojib Latif | Christian Wengel
Journal article
2021
Global exposure of population and land-use to meteorological droughts under different warming levels and SSPs: A CORDEX-based study
International Journal of Climatology (2021)
Spinoni, J. | Barbosa, P. | Bucchignani, E. | Cassano, J. | Cavazos, T. | Cescatti, A. | Christensen, J.H. | Christensen, O.B. | Coppola, E. | Evans, J.P. | Forzieri, G. | Geyer, B. | Giorgi, F. | Jacob, D. | Katzfey, J. ...
Journal article
2021
Evaluation of the Large EURO-CORDEX Regional Climate Model Ensemble
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2021)
Vautard, R. | Kadygrov, N. | Iles, C. | Boberg, F. | Buonomo, E. | Bülow, K. | Coppola, E. | Corre, L. | van Meijgaard, E. | Nogherotto, R. | Sandstad, M. | Schwingshackl, C. | Somot, S. | Aalbers, E. | Christensen, O.B. ...
Journal article
2021
Climate hazard indices projections based on CORDEX-CORE, CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensemble
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Coppola, E. | Raffaele, F. | Giorgi, F. | Giuliani, G. | Xuejie, G. | Ciarlo, J.M. | Sines, T.R. | Torres-Alavez, J.A. | Das, S. | di Sante, F. | Pichelli, E. | Glazer, R. | Müller, S.K. | Abba Omar, S. | Ashfaq, M. ...
Journal article
2021
Robust late twenty-first century shift in the regional monsoons in RegCM-CORDEX simulations
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Ashfaq, M. | Cavazos, T. | Reboita, M.S. | Torres-Alavez, J.A. | Im, E.-S. | Olusegun, C.F. | Alves, L. | Key, K. | Adeniyi, M.O. | Tall, M. | Sylla, M.B. | Mehmood, S. | Zafar, Q. | Das, S. | Diallo, I. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F.
Journal article
2021
Interannual variability of the boreal winter subtropical jet stream and teleconnections over the CORDEX-CAM domain during 1980–2010
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Luna-Niño, R. | Cavazos, T. | Torres-Alavez, J.A. | Giorgi, F. | Coppola, E.
Journal article
2021
Future changes in the wintertime cyclonic activity over the CORDEX-CORE southern hemisphere domains in a multi-model approach
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Reboita, M.S. | Reale, M. | da Rocha, R.P. | Giorgi, F. | Giuliani, G. | Coppola, E. | Nino, R.B.L. | Llopart, M. | Torres, J.A. | Cavazos, T.
Journal article
2021
Correction to: Emergence of robust anthropogenic increase of heat stress-related variables projected from CORDEX-CORE climate simulations (Climate Dynamics, (2021), 57, 5-6, (1629-1644), 10.1007/s00382-020-05398-w)
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Im, E.-S. | Thanh, N.-X. | Qiu, L. | Ashfaq, M. | Gao, X. | Yao, T. | Torma, C. | Adeniyi, M.O. | Das, S. | Giuliani, G. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F.
Journal article
2021
The CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study in southeastern South America: a comparative study of statistical and dynamical downscaling models in simulating daily extreme precipitation events
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Bettolli, M.L. | Solman, S.A. | da Rocha, R.P. | Llopart, M. | Gutierrez, J.M. | Fernández, J. | Olmo, M.E. | Lavin-Gullon, A. | Chou, S.C. | Rodrigues, D.C. | Coppola, E. | Balmaceda Huarte, R. | Barreiro, M. | Blázquez, J. ...
Journal article
2021
A new spatially distributed added value index for regional climate models: the EURO-CORDEX and the CORDEX-CORE highest resolution ensembles
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Ciarlo, J.M. | Coppola, E. | Fantini, A. | Giorgi, F. | Gao, X.J. | Tong, Y. | Glazer, R.H. | Torres Alavez, J.A. | Sines, T. | Pichelli, E. | Raffaele, F. | Das, S. | Bukovsky, M. | Ashfaq, M. | Im, E.-S. | Nguyen-Xuan, T. ...
Journal article
2021
Non-Hydrostatic RegCM4 (RegCM4-NH): Model description and case studies over multiple domains
Geoscientific Model Development (2021)
Coppola, E. | Stocchi, P. | Pichelli, E. | Torres Alavez, J.A. | Glazer, R. | Giuliani, G. | Di Sante, F. | Nogherotto, R. | Giorgi, F.
Journal article
2021
Future changes in winter explosive cyclones over the Southern Hemisphere domains from the CORDEX-CORE ensemble
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Reboita, M.S. | Crespo, N.M. | Torres, J.A. | Reale, M. | Porfírio da Rocha, R. | Giorgi, F. | Coppola, E.
Journal article
2021
Current and future potential of solar and wind energy over Africa using the RegCM4 CORDEX-CORE ensemble
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Sawadogo, W. | Reboita, M.S. | Faye, A. | da Rocha, R.P. | Odoulami, R.C. | Olusegun, C.F. | Adeniyi, M.O. | Abiodun, B.J. | Sylla, M.B. | Diallo, I. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F.
Journal article
2021
The CORDEX-Australasia ensemble: evaluation and future projections
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Evans, J.P. | Di Virgilio, G. | Hirsch, A.L. | Hoffmann, P. | Remedio, A.R. | Ji, F. | Rockel, B. | Coppola, E.
Journal article
2021
Assessing changes in the atmospheric water budget as drivers for precipitation change over two CORDEX-CORE domains
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Llopart, M. | Domingues, L.M. | Torma, C. | Giorgi, F. | da Rocha, R.P. | Ambrizzi, T. | Reboita, M.S. | Alves, L.M. | Coppola, E. | da Silva, M.L. | de Souza, D.O.
Journal article
2021
Projected changes to severe thunderstorm environments as a result of twenty-first century warming from RegCM CORDEX-CORE simulations
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Glazer, R.H. | Torres-Alavez, J.A. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F. | Das, S. | Ashfaq, M. | Sines, T.
Journal article
2021
Future projections in the climatology of global low-level jets from CORDEX-CORE simulations
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Torres-Alavez, J.A. | Das, S. | Corrales-Suastegui, A. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F. | Raffaele, F. | Bukovsky, M.S. | Ashfaq, M. | Salinas, J.A. | Sines, T.
Journal article
2021
Editorial for the CORDEX-CORE Experiment I Special Issue
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Giorgi, F. | Coppola, E. | Teichmann, C. | Jacob, D.
Journal article
2021
The first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale resolution part 2: historical and future simulations of precipitation
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Pichelli, E. | Coppola, E. | Sobolowski, S. | Ban, N. | Giorgi, F. | Stocchi, P. | Alias, A. | Belušić, D. | Berthou, S. | Caillaud, C. | Cardoso, R.M. | Chan, S. | Christensen, O.B. | Dobler, A. | de Vries, H. | Goergen, K. ...
Journal article
2021
Assessing mean climate change signals in the global CORDEX-CORE ensemble
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Teichmann, C. | Jacob, D. | Remedio, A.R. | Remke, T. | Buntemeyer, L. | Hoffmann, P. | Kriegsmann, A. | Lierhammer, L. | Bülow, K. | Weber, T. | Sieck, K. | Rechid, D. | Langendijk, G.S. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F. ...
Journal article
2021
Projected streamflow and sediment supply under changing climate to the coast of the kalu river basin in tropical sri lanka over the 21st century
Water (Switzerland) (2021)
Sirisena, T.A.J.G. | Maskey, S. | Bamunawala, J. | Coppola, E. | Ranasinghe, R.
Journal article
2021
Future projections in tropical cyclone activity over multiple CORDEX domains from RegCM4 CORDEX-CORE simulations
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Torres-Alavez, J.A. | Glazer, R. | Giorgi, F. | Coppola, E. | Gao, X. | Hodges, K.I. | Das, S. | Ashfaq, M. | Reale, M. | Sines, T.
Journal article
2021
Emergence of robust anthropogenic increase of heat stress-related variables projected from CORDEX-CORE climate simulations
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Im, E.-S. | Thanh, N.-X. | Qiu, L. | Ashfaq, M. | Gao, X. | Yao, T. | Torma, C. | Adeniyi, M.O. | Das, S. | Giuliani, G. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F.
Journal article
2021
The first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale resolution, part I: evaluation of precipitation
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Ban, N. | Caillaud, C. | Coppola, E. | Pichelli, E. | Sobolowski, S. | Adinolfi, M. | Ahrens, B. | Alias, A. | Anders, I. | Bastin, S. | Belušić, D. | Berthou, S. | Brisson, E. | Cardoso, R.M. | Chan, S.C. | Christensen, O.B. ...
Journal article
2021
Assessment of the European Climate Projections as Simulated by the Large EURO-CORDEX Regional and Global Climate Model Ensemble
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2021)
Coppola, E. | Nogherotto, R. | Ciarlo', J.M. | Giorgi, F. | van Meijgaard, E. | Kadygrov, N. | Iles, C. | Corre, L. | Sandstad, M. | Somot, S. | Nabat, P. | Vautard, R. | Levavasseur, G. | Schwingshackl, C. | Sillmann, J. ...

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