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Scientists in ICTP's Earth System Physics section publish their research in some of the world's most prestigious journals; for the latest publications, see below.

Journal article

2026

The interdecadal variations of cross-month correlation feature of the NWPSH

NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2026)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2026

Has the fire weather index emerged? Insights from global and regional climate models

Weather and Climate Extremes (2026)

Rita Nogherotto | Francesca Raffaele | Graziano Giuliani | Erika Coppola

Journal article

2026

Correction to: The attribution of human health outcomes to climate change: transdisciplinary practical guidance

Climatic Change (2026)

K. L. Ebi | A. Haines | R. F. S. Andrade | C. Åström | M. L. Barreto | A. Bonell | K. Bowen | N. Brink | C. Caminade | C. J. Carlson | R. Carter | P. Chua | G. Cissé | F. J. Colón-González | S. Dasgupta | L. A. Galvao ...

Journal article

2026

The Importance of Accounting for Stakeholder Values, Power Relationships and Language in Constructing Relevant and Trustworthy Climate Information

Earth's Future (2026)

Douglas Maraun | Dragana Bojovic | Wendy Parker | Theodore G. Shepherd | Stefan Sobolowski | Cyril Caminade | Alessandro Dosio | William J. Gutowski | Anna Sörensson | Leandro B. Diaz | Ibrahima Diouf | Francisco J. Doblas‐Reyes ...

Journal article

2026

High resolution physically based modelling reveals malaria incidence reduction by vector control measures

Scientific Reports (2026)

Mame Diarra Bousso Dieng | Stephan Munga | Adrian M. Tompkins | Miguel Garrido Zornoza | Cyril Caminade | Benjamin Fersch | Joël Arnault | Sammy Khagayi | Maximilian Schwarz | Simon Kariuki | Godfrey Bigogo | Harald Kunstmann

Journal article

2026

Impact of wind forcing on the equatorial Pacific interannual variability in Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP) simulations

Climate Dynamics (2026)

Arthur Prigent | Riccardo Farneti | Fred Kucharski | Antonietta Capotondi | Joke F. Lübbecke

Journal article

2025

A global CORDEX-based dataset delineating urban areas and their surroundings to assess climate change in megacities

Scientific Data (2025)

Javier Diez-Sierra | Yaiza Quintana | Gaby S. Langendijk | Josipa Milovac | Matthias Demuzere | Rita Nogherotto | Joni-Pekka Pietikäinen | Diana Rechid | Natalia Zazulie | Silvina A. Solman | Jesús Fernández

Journal article

2025

Drying Tropical America Under Global Warming: Mechanism and Emergent Constraint

Geophysical Research Letters (2025)

Chao He | Xiaolong Chen | Tianjun Zhou | Fred Kucharski | Fengfei Song

Journal article

2025

Interannual variability of net primary productivity in the northwest African coastal upwelling system and their relation to Dakar Niños

Scientific Reports (2025)

Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue | Arthur Prigent | Joke F. Lübbecke | Peter Brandt | Julien Jouanno

Journal article

2025

Potential for Machine Learning Emulators to Augment Regional Climate Simulations in Provision of Local Climate Change Information

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2025)

Elizabeth J. Kendon | Henry Addison | Antoine Doury | Samuel Somot | Peter A. G. Watson | Ben B. B. Booth | Erika Coppola | José Manuel Gutiérrez | James Murphy | Calum Scullion

Journal article

2025

Graph neural networks for hourly precipitation projections at the convection permitting scale with a novel hybrid imperfect framework

Environmental Data Science (2025)

Valentina Blasone | Erika Coppola | Guido Sanguinetti | Viplove Arora | Serafina Di Gioia | Luca Bortolussi

Journal article

2025

The 5th generation regional climate modeling system, RegCM5: the first convection-permitting European wide simulation and validation over the CORDEX-CORE domains

Climate Dynamics (2025)

Erika Coppola | Filippo Giorgi | Graziano Giuliani | Emanuela Pichelli | James M. Ciarlo | Francesca Raffaele | Rita Nogherotto | Michelle Simões Reboita | Chen Lu | Natalia Zazulie | Luiza Vargas-Heinz | Andressa Andrade Cardoso ...

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All publications

Journal article

2015

Variability and predictability of west African droughts: A review on the role of sea surface temperature anomalies

Journal of Climate (2015)

Rodríguez-Fonseca, B. | Mohino, E. | Mechoso, C.R. | Caminade, C. | Biasutti, M. | Gaetani, M. | Garcia-Serrano, J. | Vizy, E.K. | Cook, K. | Xue, Y. | Polo, I. | Losada, T. | Druyan, L. | Fontaine, B. | Bader, J. | Doblas-Reyes, F.J. ...

Journal article

2015

An interpretation of cloud overlap statistics

Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences (2015)

Tompkins, A.M. | Di Giuseppe, F.

Journal article

2015

Comparison of ECMWF analysis and forecast humidity data with CARIBIC upper troposphere and lower stratosphere observations

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (2015)

Dyroff, C. | Zahn, A. | Christner, E. | Forbes, R. | Tompkins, A.M. | van Velthoven, P.F.J.

Journal article

2015

Generalizing cloud overlap treatment to include the effect of wind shear

Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences (2015)

Di Giuseppe, F. | Tompkins, A.M.

Journal article

2015

A generalized deforestation and land-use change scenario generator for use in climate modelling studies

PLoS ONE (2015)

Tompkins, A.M. | Caporaso, L. | Biondi, R. | Bell, J.P.

Journal article

2015

Potential predictability of malaria in Africa using ECMWF monthly and seasonal climate forecasts

Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology (2015)

Tompkins, A.M. | di Giuseppe, F.

Journal article

2015

A process-based investigation into the impact of the Congo basin deforestation on surface climate

Journal of Geophysical Research (2015)

Bell, J.P. | Tompkins, A.M. | Bouka-Biona, C. | Sanda, I.S.

Journal article

2015

An assessment of upper troposphere and lower stratosphere water vapor in MERRA, MERRA2, and ECMWF reanalyses using Aura MLS observations

Journal of Geophysical Research (2015)

Jiang, J.H. | Su, H. | Zhai, C. | Wu, L. | Minschwaner, K. | Molod, A.M. | Tompkins, A.M.

Journal article

2015

Simulated South Atlantic transports and their variability during 1958-2007

Ocean Modelling (2015)

Sitz, Lina E. | Farneti, Riccardo | Griffies, Stephen M.

Journal article

2015

Simulated South Atlantic transports and their variability during 1958-2007 (vol 91, pg 70, 2015)

Ocean Modelling (2015)

Sitz, Lina E. | Farneti, Riccardo | Griffies, Stephen M.

Journal article

2015

Thermodynamic controls of the Atlantic Nino

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2015)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2015

An assessment of Antarctic Circumpolar Current and Southern Ocean meridional overturning circulation during 1958-2007 in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations

Ocean Modelling (2015)

Farneti, Riccardo | Downes, Stephanie M. | Griffies, Stephen M. | Marsland, Simon J. | Behrens, Erik | Bentsen, Mats | Bi, Daohua | Biastoch, Arne | Boening, Claus | Bozec, Alexandra | Canuto, Vittorio M. | Chassignet, Eric ...

Journal article

2015

An assessment of Southern Ocean water masses and sea ice during 1988-2007 in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations

Ocean Modelling (2015)

Downes, Stephanie M. | Farneti, Riccardo | Uotila, Petteri | Griffies, Stephen M. | Marsland, Simon J. | Bailey, David | Behrens, Erik | Bentsen, Mats | Bi, Daohua | Biastoch, Arne | Boening, Claus | Bozec, Alexandra ...

Journal article

2014

On the Atlantic-Pacific Ninos connection: a multidecadal modulated mode

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2014)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2014

Tropical cyclones in a regional climate change projection with RegCM4 over the CORDEX Central America domain

Climatic Change (2014)

Diro, G.T. | Giorgi, F. | Fuentes-Franco, R. | Walsh, K.J.E. | Giuliani, G. | Coppola, E.

Journal article

2014

Mediterranean warm-core cyclones in a warmer world

Climate Dynamics (2014)

Walsh, K. | Giorgi, F. | Coppola, E.

Journal article

2014

Assessment of RegCM4 simulated inter-annual variability and daily-scale statistics of temperature and precipitation over Mexico

Climate Dynamics (2014)

Fuentes-Franco, R. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F. | Graef, F. | Pavia, E.G.

Journal article

2014

Present and future climatologies in the phase I CREMA experiment

Climatic Change (2014)

Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F. | Raffaele, F. | Fuentes-Franco, R. | Giuliani, G. | LLopart-Pereira, M. | Mamgain, A. | Mariotti, L. | Diro, G.T. | Torma, C.

Journal article

2014

Changes in extremes and hydroclimatic regimes in the CREMA ensemble projections

Climatic Change (2014)

Giorgi, F. | Coppola, E. | Raffaele, F. | Diro, G.T. | Fuentes-Franco, R. | Giuliani, G. | Mamgain, A. | Llopart, M.P. | Mariotti, L. | Torma, C.

Journal article

2014

Seasonal and intraseasonal changes of African monsoon climates in 21st century CORDEX projections

Climatic Change (2014)

Mariotti, L. | Diallo, I. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F.

Journal article

2014

Changing hydrological conditions in the Po basin under global warming

Science of the Total Environment (2014)

Coppola, E. | Verdecchia, M. | Giorgi, F. | Colaiuda, V. | Tomassetti, B. | Lombardi, A.

Journal article

2014

Sensitivity of the regional climate model RegCM4.2 to planetary boundary layer parameterisation

Climate Dynamics (2014)

Güttler, I. | Branković, Č. | O’Brien, T.A. | Coppola, E. | Grisogono, B. | Giorgi, F.

Journal article

2014

Climate change impact on precipitation for the Amazon and La Plata basins

Climatic Change (2014)

Llopart, M. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F. | da Rocha, R.P. | Cuadra, S.V.

Journal article

2014

Simulating the connections of ENSO and the rainfall regime of East Africa and the upper Blue Nile region using a climate model of the Tropics

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (2014)

M. A. H. Zaroug | F. Giorgi | E. Coppola | G. M. Abdo | E. A. B. Eltahir

Journal article

2014

Interannual variability associated with ENSO: present and future climate projections of RegCM4 for South America-CORDEX domain

Climatic Change (2014)

da Rocha, R.P. | Reboita, M.S. | Dutra, L.M.M. | Llopart, M.P. | Coppola, E.

Journal article

2014

A consistent picture of the hydroclimatic response to global warming from multiple indices: Models and observations

Journal of Geophysical Research (2014)

Giorgi, F. | Coppola, E. | Raffaele, F.

Journal article

2014

ENSO Amplitude Modulation Associated with the Mean SST Changes in the Tropical Central Pacific Induced by Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2014)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2014

Influence of Antarctic ice sheet lowering on the Southern Hemisphere climate: modeling experiments mimicking the mid-Miocene

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2014)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2014

North Atlantic SSTs as a Link between the Wintertime NAO and the Following Spring Climate

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2014)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2014

On the Atlantic–Pacific Niños connection: a multidecadal modulated mode

Climate Dynamics (2014)

Martín-Rey, M. | Rodríguez-Fonseca, B. | Polo, I. | Kucharski, F.

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